METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez
Las Vegas, USA
7 Jul 2016
Bantamweight
VS
85%
Birchak
15%
Lopes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Anthony BirchakwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dileno Lopes · UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Birchak
→
Actual result
Birchak wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Birchak is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Birchak has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.
Risk flags
Birchak's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BirchakLopes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Birchak
Lopes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'5"
69"
Reach
40+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
—
Birchak
Lopes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.8
2.7
38.8
Performance Avg
0.0
43
Quality of Victory
0
53
Momentum Score
0
Birchak
Lopes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.7
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
12
7
Body
0
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance11
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Birchak
Lopes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Birchak
Lopes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/24 fights
Chin rating based on
2/22 fights
Birchak
Lopes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Birchak
Lopes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Birchak
Lopes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BirchakLopes
Strike Zones
Birchak
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedLopes
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Birchak targets the body (47% of attacks) — Lopes absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Lopes targets the head (92% of attacks) — Birchak absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Birchak
RND
Lopes
0/0R00/0
Birchak · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Tony GravelyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Gustavo LopezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Dileno LopesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
L · KO · R1
Thomas AlmeidaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
W · KO · R1
Joe SotoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
Lopes · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Anthony BirchakDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Reginaldo VieiraDecision
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08