UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
Inglewood, USA
18 Jan 2025
Bantamweight
VS
35%
Turcios
65%
Sopaj
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Ricky
Ricky Turcios
13 – 6
5'9"71" reachOrthodox32 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 30
Benardo
Benardo Sopaj
"Lion King"
13 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak25 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'6"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sopaj

Sopaj holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Turcios has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Sopaj has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Sopaj has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Turcios
Sopaj
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
71"+
Reach
66"
32
Age
+25
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Turcios
Sopaj
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.8
54.4
28.3
Performance Avg
49.0
25
Quality of Victory
37
30
Momentum Score
70
Turcios
Sopaj
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.2
41%
Strike Accuracy
60%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
32
5
Body
3
7
Leg
3
RangeRange
19Distance18
4Clinch4
0Ground16
Turcios
Sopaj
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Turcios
Sopaj
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Turcios
Sopaj
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
70
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Turcios
Sopaj
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Turcios
Sopaj
Striking0.7 / 1.3Volume8.7 / 5.3Grappling2.4 / 5.2Wrestling1.7 / 3.6Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure1.0 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Turcios
Strike Zones
Sopaj
Turcios
Attacking
11HEAD5BODY7LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
32HEAD3BODY3LEGS38 absorbed
Sopaj
Attacking
32HEAD3BODY3LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD5BODY7LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Turcios targets the head (48% of attacks) — Sopaj absorbs 48% of strikes there
🎯Sopaj targets the head (84% of attacks) — Turcios absorbs 84% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Turcios
RND
Sopaj
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Turcios · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.6W6.6L4.5W4.4L6.5L4.9L2021-082022-072022-112024-062025-012026-03
WinLossTrend

Sopaj · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0L4.5W5.6W2024-032025-012026-05
WinLossTrend

Turcios · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Alberto MontesRating 4.9
Submission
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Benardo SopajRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
L · Sub · R2
Raul Rosas Jr.Rating 4.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Kevin NatividadRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07

Sopaj · Last 3

W · Sub · R2
Timmy CuambaRating 5.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Ricky TurciosRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
L · KO · R3
Vinicius OliveiraRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03

News & Media

Ricky Turcios · Benardo Sopaj
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