METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva
Las Vegas, USA
31 Oct 2020
Lightweight
VS
29%
Gruetzemacher
71%
Hernandez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:46
CG
Chris Gruetzemacher
"Gritz"
15 – 5
5'8"68" reachOrthodox40 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 21
Alexander
Alexander Hernandez
"El Gran Chango"
18 – 9
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'9"
CFR 53
★ Official Result
Alexander HernandezwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:46
def. Chris Gruetzemacher · UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hernandez
→
Actual result
Hernandez wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Hernandez is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Gruetzemacher has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Gruetzemacher's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hernandez has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
GruetzemacherHernandez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gruetzemacher
Hernandez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
68"
Reach
+72"
40
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gruetzemacher
Hernandez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
52.9
38.1
Performance Avg
47.4
35
Quality of Victory
42
41
Momentum Score
90
Gruetzemacher
Hernandez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
1.8
59%
Strike Accuracy
43%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
16
0
Body
4
4
Leg
9
RangeRange
8Distance28
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Gruetzemacher
Hernandez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gruetzemacher
Hernandez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
14
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/20 fights
Chin rating based on
18/27 fights
Gruetzemacher
Hernandez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
41
90
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Gruetzemacher
Hernandez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gruetzemacher
Hernandez
Striking4.2 / 6.1Volume6.2 / 5.1Grappling1.6 / 1.2Wrestling1.1 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Gruetzemacher
Strike Zones
Hernandez
Gruetzemacher
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY4LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD4BODY9LEGS29 absorbed
Hernandez
Attacking
16HEAD4BODY9LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY4LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gruetzemacher targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Hernandez targets the head (55% of attacks) — Gruetzemacher absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gruetzemacher
RND
Hernandez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Gruetzemacher · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0104.5W2.8L4.0L5.2W2.4L5.3W4.9L2015-122017-122020-102021-12
WinLossTrend

Hernandez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0106.0W4.5W2.8L4.5W4.0L5.0W5.7L5.0W3.5L3.9L4.9W5.7L5.8L4.5W4.5W5.8W6.3W6.3L2018-032020-102023-022025-082026-04
WinLossTrend

Gruetzemacher · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Claudio PuellesRating 4.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Alexander HernandezRating 2.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
W · KO · R2
Joe LauzonRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · Sub · R3
Davi RamosRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12

Hernandez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Chase HooperRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Kurt HolobaughRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10

News & Media

Chris Gruetzemacher · Alexander Hernandez
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