UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva
Las Vegas, USA
31 Oct 2020
Lightweight
VS
29%
Gruetzemacher
71%
Hernandez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:46
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hernandez
Hernandez is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gruetzemacher has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Gruetzemacher's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hernandez has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Gruetzemacher
Hernandez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
68"
Reach
+72"
39
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gruetzemacher
Hernandez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
52.9
38.1
Performance Avg
47.4
35
Quality of Victory
42
41
Momentum Score
90
Gruetzemacher
Hernandez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
1.8
59%
Strike Accuracy
43%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
16
0
Body
4
4
Leg
9
RangeRange
8Distance28
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Gruetzemacher
Hernandez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gruetzemacher
Hernandez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
14
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/20 fights
Chin rating based on
18/27 fights
Gruetzemacher
Hernandez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
41
90
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Gruetzemacher
Hernandez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gruetzemacher
Hernandez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
GruetzemacherHernandez
Strike Zones
Gruetzemacher
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedHernandez
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gruetzemacher targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Hernandez targets the head (55% of attacks) — Gruetzemacher absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gruetzemacher
RND
Hernandez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Gruetzemacher · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Hernandez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Gruetzemacher · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Claudio PuellesRating 4.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Alexander HernandezRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
W · KO · R2
Joe LauzonRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · Sub · R3
Davi RamosRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
Hernandez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Chase HooperRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Kurt HolobaughRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardRating 4.5Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10