UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson
London, United Kingdom
21 Feb 2009
Heavyweight
VS
48%
Santos
52%
Struve
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:54
JD
Junior Dos Santos
"Cigano"
21 – 9
6'4"77" reachOrthodox42 yrs4-fight slideStriker
CFR 19
SS
Stefan Struve
"Skyscraper"
33 – 13
Pressure Fighter2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox84" reach6'11"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Struve

This is a genuine toss-up — Santos at 48% vs Struve at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Struve has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Santos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Struve has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Santos
Struve
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
+6'11"
77"
Reach
+84"
42
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Struve
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
20.6
57.8
Performance Avg
51.7
53
Quality of Victory
50
59
Momentum Score
98
Santos
Struve
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.8
50%
Strike Accuracy
52%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
10 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
0
2
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance0
4Clinch0
2Ground0
Santos
Struve
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.1
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Santos
Struve
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
7
KO/TKO Losses
8
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/30 fights
Chin rating based on
24/46 fights
Santos
Struve
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
98
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Santos
Struve
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
85%
10
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
6
5
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Santos
Struve
Striking8.0 / 4.9Volume4.0 / 2.3Grappling0.8 / 4.1Wrestling0.6 / 2.8Submission0.0 / 4.6Pressure6.6 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.6
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
Santos
Strike Zones
Struve
Santos
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY1LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Struve
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY1LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (75% of attacks) — Struve absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Santos
RND
Struve
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W5.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W5.1W5.5L5.5W4.0L5.6W2.8L4.5W2.6L4.5W5.5W6.3W1.9L3.1L3.8L4.5L2008-102011-062014-122019-032020-12
WinLossTrend

Struve · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0101.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W1.5L5.2W5.0W1.5L5.2W5.2W5.0W6.2W4.0L1.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.2W4.0L6.2L5.9L5.9W2.8L1.9L2009-022010-122013-032017-092020-10
WinLossTrend

Santos · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Ciryl GaneRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · KO · R2
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03

Struve · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Ben RothwellRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · Sub · R2
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 5.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03

News & Media

Junior Dos Santos · Stefan Struve
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