UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir
Brisbane, Australia
19 Mar 2016
Lightweight
VS
63%
Patrick
37%
Brown
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Patrick
Patrick holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Brown has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brown has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Brown throws more volume but Patrick connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Patrick's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Patrick
Brown
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
68"
42
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Patrick
Brown
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.8
13.3
41.4
Performance Avg
38.8
32
Quality of Victory
43
58
Momentum Score
15
Patrick
Brown
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
2.1
39%
Strike Accuracy
38%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
3
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch1
5Ground0
Patrick
Brown
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Patrick
Brown
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/19 fights
Chin rating based on
6/29 fights
Patrick
Brown
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
15
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Patrick
Brown
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Patrick
Brown
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
PatrickBrown
Strike Zones
Patrick
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedBrown
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Patrick targets the head (100% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Brown targets the head (75% of attacks) — Patrick absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Patrick
RND
Brown
0/0R00/0
Patrick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Brown · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Patrick · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonRating 2.8KO/TKO
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