UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader
Belo Horizonte, Brazil
4 Sept 2013
Welterweight
VS
22%
Villefort
78%
Spencer
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Spencer
Spencer is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Spencer has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Spencer has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Spencer has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Villefort
Spencer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
73"
Reach
+74"
35+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Villefort
Spencer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.7
9.8
0.0
Performance Avg
30.0
0
Quality of Victory
25
0
Momentum Score
25
Villefort
Spencer
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.8
36%
Strike Accuracy
38%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
48
5
Body
6
6
Leg
1
RangeRange
25Distance51
1Clinch4
0Ground0
Villefort
Spencer
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Villefort
Spencer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
50
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/15 fights
Chin rating based on
8/18 fights
Villefort
Spencer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
25
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Villefort
Spencer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Villefort
Spencer
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.1
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
VillefortSpencer
Strike Zones
Villefort
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
55 absorbedSpencer
Attacking
55 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Villefort targets the head (58% of attacks) — Spencer absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Spencer targets the head (87% of attacks) — Villefort absorbs 87% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Villefort
RND
Spencer
0/0R00/0
Villefort · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Spencer · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Villefort · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Sean SpencerRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · 2013-09
L · Dec · R3
Nah-Shon BurrellRating 5.5Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
Spencer · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Yancy MedeirosRating 2.8Submission
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09
L · KO · R3
Mike PyleRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
Cathal PendredRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Paulo ThiagoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Alex GarciaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03