UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
Brooklyn, USA
7 Apr 2018
Featherweight
VS
53%
Moicano
47%
Kattar
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Moicano
This is a genuine toss-up — Moicano at 53% vs Kattar at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Moicano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Moicano's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Kattar has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Moicano
Kattar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
72"
Reach
72"
37+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moicano
Kattar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.3
44.3
51.7
Performance Avg
44.4
43
Quality of Victory
43
64
Momentum Score
33
Moicano
Kattar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.5
50%
Strike Accuracy
42%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
33
Head
14
7
Body
3
11
Leg
0
RangeRange
50Distance17
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Moicano
Kattar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
3.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Moicano
Kattar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
64
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/28 fights
Chin rating based on
15/33 fights
Moicano
Kattar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
33
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
Moicano
Kattar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
62%
57%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
7
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moicano
Kattar
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
5.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
MoicanoKattar
Strike Zones
Moicano
Attacking
51 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedKattar
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
51 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moicano targets the head (65% of attacks) — Kattar absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Kattar targets the head (82% of attacks) — Moicano absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moicano
RND
Kattar
0/0R00/0
Moicano · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Kattar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Moicano · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Chris DuncanRating 6.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Beneil DariushRating 6.5Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Sub · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 5.9UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · KO · R2
Jalin TurnerRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Kattar · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Steve GarciaRating 7.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Youssef ZalalRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R2
Arnold AllenRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
L · Dec · R5
Josh EmmettRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06

