UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2
Calgary, Canada
28 Jul 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
28%
Antigulov
72%
Cutelaba
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:25
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cutelaba
Cutelaba is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Antigulov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Antigulov's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cutelaba has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Antigulov
Cutelaba
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
70"
Reach
+75"
39
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Antigulov
Cutelaba
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
40.5
45.7
Performance Avg
47.1
54
Quality of Victory
47
33
Momentum Score
26
Antigulov
Cutelaba
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.7
54%
Strike Accuracy
45%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
27
3
Body
13
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
9Clinch38
3Ground0
Antigulov
Cutelaba
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Antigulov
Cutelaba
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/28 fights
Chin rating based on
21/31 fights
Antigulov
Cutelaba
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
26
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Antigulov
Cutelaba
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Antigulov
Cutelaba
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
AntigulovCutelaba
Strike Zones
Antigulov
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedCutelaba
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Antigulov targets the head (67% of attacks) — Cutelaba absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Cutelaba targets the head (68% of attacks) — Antigulov absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Antigulov
RND
Cutelaba
0/0R00/0
Antigulov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Cutelaba · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Antigulov · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Maxim GrishinRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · Sub · R1
Paul CraigRating 2.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
L · KO · R1
Ion CutelabaRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Sub · R1
Joachim ChristensenRating 5Submission
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05
Cutelaba · Last 5
Upcoming
Navajo StirlingUFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Sub · R1
Oumar SyRating 6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Modestas BukauskasRating 6.3Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Ibo AslanRating 5.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Ivan ErslanRating 4.5Decision
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