UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira
Saskatoon, Canada
23 Aug 2015
Lightweight
VS
50%
Aubin-Mercier
50%
Sims
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
OA
Olivier Aubin-Mercier
"The Canadian Gangster"
11 – 5
5'9"70" reachSouthpaw37 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
TS
Tony Sims
12 – 4
Knockout Artist2-fight slide40 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'11"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Aubin-Mercier

This is a genuine toss-up — Aubin-Mercier at 50% vs Sims at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Sims has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Sims has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Aubin-Mercier
Sims
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
70"
37+
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Aubin-Mercier
Sims
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
19.5
49.0
Performance Avg
49.3
43
Quality of Victory
60
61
Momentum Score
43
Aubin-Mercier
Sims
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.9
53%
Strike Accuracy
68%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
22
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground20
Aubin-Mercier
Sims
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Aubin-Mercier
Sims
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/16 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Aubin-Mercier
Sims
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
43
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Aubin-Mercier
Sims
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Aubin-Mercier
Sims
Striking2.6 / 10.0Volume3.5 / 0.7Grappling5.3 / 0.0Wrestling3.7 / 0.0Submission5.7 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Aubin-Mercier
Strike Zones
Sims
Aubin-Mercier
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD0BODY1LEGS23 absorbed
Sims
Attacking
22HEAD0BODY1LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Aubin-Mercier targets the body (100% of attacks) — Sims absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Sims targets the head (96% of attacks) — Aubin-Mercier absorbs 96% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Aubin-Mercier
RND
Sims
0/0R00/0

Aubin-Mercier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.5L5.2W5.5W4.5W6.5L5.5W6.5W4.5W5.0W6.4L5.7L7.1L2014-042015-082016-122018-072019-07
WinLossTrend

Sims · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W5.5L1.5L2015-062015-082016-01
WinLossTrend

Aubin-Mercier · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · KO · R1
Evan DunhamRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09

Sims · Last 3

L · Sub · R1
Abel TrujilloRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
L · Dec · R3
Olivier Aubin-MercierRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
W · KO · R1
Steve MontgomeryRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06

News & Media

Olivier Aubin-Mercier · Tony Sims
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