METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira
Saskatoon, Canada
23 Aug 2015
Lightweight
VS
50%
Aubin-Mercier
50%
Sims
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
OA
Olivier Aubin-Mercier
"The Canadian Gangster"
11 – 5
5'9"70" reachSouthpaw37 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Olivier Aubin-MercierwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tony Sims · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Aubin-Mercier
→
Actual result
Aubin-Mercier wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Aubin-Mercier at 50% vs Sims at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Sims has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
Aubin-MercierSims
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Aubin-Mercier
Sims
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
70"
37+
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Aubin-Mercier
Sims
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
19.5
49.0
Performance Avg
49.3
43
Quality of Victory
60
61
Momentum Score
43
Aubin-Mercier
Sims
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
8.0
3.5
Style: Volume
0.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
22
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground20
Aubin-Mercier
Sims
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Aubin-Mercier
Sims
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/16 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Aubin-Mercier
Sims
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
43
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Aubin-Mercier
Sims
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Aubin-Mercier
Sims
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Aubin-MercierSims
Strike Zones
Aubin-Mercier
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedSims
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Aubin-Mercier targets the body (100% of attacks) — Sims absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Sims targets the head (96% of attacks) — Aubin-Mercier absorbs 96% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Aubin-Mercier
RND
Sims
0/0R00/0
Aubin-Mercier · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanDecision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Gilbert BurnsDecision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · KO · R1
Evan DunhamKO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
Sims · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Abel TrujilloSubmission
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
L · Dec · R3
Olivier Aubin-MercierDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
W · KO · R1
Steve MontgomeryKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06