Alexandre Pantoja vs Yuta Sasaki — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio

Buenos Aires, Argentina

17 Nov 2018

Flyweight

77%

Pantoja

23%

Sasaki

Win Probability

Submission

Round 1 · 2:18

Alexandre Pantoja

"The Cannibal"

30 – 6

5'5"67" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 61

Yuta Sasaki

"Ulka"

21 – 6

Submission Hunter36 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'10"

CFR 18

★ Official Result

Alexandre PantojawinsSubmissionR1 · 2:18

def. Yuta Sasaki · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Pantoja

→

Actual result

Pantoja wins

Submission · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Pantoja is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Sasaki has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

PantojaSasaki

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Pantoja

Sasaki

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'5"

Height

+5'10"

67"

Reach

+71"

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

Pantoja

Sasaki

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

60.7

17.8

60.2

Performance Avg

48.2

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Pantoja

Sasaki

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.0

/ 10

0.9

/ 10

6.3

Style: Pressure

8.3

5.0

Style: Volume

0.9

2 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

4Distance3

0Clinch0

0Ground4

Pantoja

Sasaki

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.5

/ 10

8.0

/ 10

3.1

Wrestling Style (/10)

5.6

4.3

Submission Style (/10)

10.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Pantoja

Sasaki

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

1 fight ago

Last KO loss

6 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

19/36 fights

Chin rating based on

9/27 fights

Pantoja

Sasaki

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

Upcoming

L · KO · R1

W · Sub · R3

W · Sub · R2

W · Dec · R5

Last 5

L · Sub · R1

W · Sub · R2

L · Sub · R1

W · Sub · R2

L · Dec · R3

Pantoja

Sasaki

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

57%

100%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pantoja

Sasaki

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.0

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

0.9

4.5

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

8.0

3.1

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

5.6

4.3

Submission

Submission attack frequency

10.0

6.3

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

8.3

5.0

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

0.9

Pantoja

Strike Zones

Sasaki

Pantoja

Attacking

4 landed

Absorbing

7 absorbed

Sasaki

Attacking

7 landed

Absorbing

4 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Pantoja targets the head (75% of attacks) — Sasaki absorbs 75% of strikes there

🎯Sasaki targets the head (86% of attacks) — Pantoja absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pantoja

RND

Sasaki

0/0R00/0

Pantoja · Last 5

Upcoming

Joshua Van

UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09

L · KO · R1

Joshua Van

KO/TKO

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12

W · Sub · R3

Kai Kara-France

Submission

UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06

W · Sub · R2

Kai Asakura

Submission

UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12

W · Dec · R5

Steve Erceg

Decision

UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05

Sasaki · Last 5

L · Sub · R1

Alexandre Pantoja

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11

W · Sub · R2

Jenel Lausa

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06

L · Sub · R1

Jussier Formiga

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09

W · Sub · R2

Justin Scoggins

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06

L · Dec · R3

Wilson Reis

Decision

UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02

News & Media

Alexandre Pantoja · Yuta Sasaki

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