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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov
Las Vegas, USA
1 Jul 2023
Welterweight
VS
34%
Lee
66%
Fakhretdinov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:55
KL
Kevin Lee
"The Motown Phenom"
18 – 8
5'9"77" reachOrthodox33 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 35
Rinat
Rinat Fakhretdinov
"Gladiator"
24 – 1
Well-Rounded6-fight win streak34 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 68
★ Official Result
Rinat FakhretdinovwinsSubmissionR1 · 0:55
def. Kevin Lee · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Fakhretdinov
→
Actual result
Fakhretdinov wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Fakhretdinov holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Lee has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Fakhretdinov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lee's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
LeeFakhretdinov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lee
Fakhretdinov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
77"+
Reach
74"
33+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lee
Fakhretdinov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.2
67.7
48.3
Performance Avg
61.4
42
Quality of Victory
36
53
Momentum Score
100
Lee
Fakhretdinov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
2.0
42%
Strike Accuracy
55%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
6
0
Body
2
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
3Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Lee
Fakhretdinov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lee
Fakhretdinov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
100
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/26 fights
Chin rating based on
7/25 fights
Lee
Fakhretdinov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
6-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R4
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
Lee
Fakhretdinov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lee
Fakhretdinov
Striking3.0 / 3.7Volume4.1 / 7.3Grappling3.8 / 2.9Wrestling2.6 / 2.0Submission3.6 / 1.7Pressure5.6 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
Lee
Strike Zones
Fakhretdinov
Lee
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY3LEGS11 absorbed
Fakhretdinov
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY3LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lee targets the head (100% of attacks) — Fakhretdinov absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Fakhretdinov targets the head (55% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lee
RND
Fakhretdinov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Lee · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.6L4.5W6.0W5.2W5.2W5.8W3.3L5.0W5.5L3.6L5.0W4.2L6.4L3.1L2014-022015-122017-062019-112023-07
WinLossTrend

Fakhretdinov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W6.3W5.0W4.8W5.3W5.2W2022-062022-122023-072024-062024-102025-09
WinLossTrend

Lee · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Rinat FakhretdinovRating 3.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R3
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · KO · R1
Gregor GillespieRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · Sub · R4
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 3.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

Fakhretdinov · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Andreas GustafssonRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Carlos LealRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Nicolas DalbyRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
Upcoming
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
W · Sub · R1
Kevin LeeRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07

News & Media

Kevin Lee · Rinat Fakhretdinov
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