UFC 105: Couture vs Vera
Manchester, United Kingdom
14 Nov 2009
Light Heavyweight
VS
71%
Gustafsson
29%
Hamman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:41
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gustafsson
Gustafsson is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Hamman throws more volume but Gustafsson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Gustafsson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hamman has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Gustafsson
Hamman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'3"
79"+
Reach
75"
39+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gustafsson
Hamman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.8
10.0
50.3
Performance Avg
35.4
47
Quality of Victory
40
39
Momentum Score
0
Gustafsson
Hamman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.8
44%
Strike Accuracy
44%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
2Distance6
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Gustafsson
Hamman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gustafsson
Hamman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
20
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/26 fights
Chin rating based on
7/20 fights
Gustafsson
Hamman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R4
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Gustafsson
Hamman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gustafsson
Hamman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
GustafssonHamman
Strike Zones
Gustafsson
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedHamman
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gustafsson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hamman absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Hamman targets the head (50% of attacks) — Gustafsson absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gustafsson
RND
Hamman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Gustafsson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Hamman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.2WinLossTrend
Gustafsson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Fabricio WerdumRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · Sub · R4
Anthony SmithRating 4.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
L · KO · R3
Jon JonesRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R5
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
Hamman · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Magnus CedenbladRating 1.5Submission
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08
L · KO · R2
Michael KuiperRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08
L · KO · R1
Constantinos PhilippouRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
W · KO · R2
CB DollawayRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Kyle KingsburyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares · 2010-09