METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2025
Middleweight
VS
94%
Abdul-Malik
6%
Trocoli
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:09
★ Official Result
Mansur Abdul-MalikwinsSubmissionR1 · 1:09
def. Antonio Trocoli · UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Abdul-Malik
→
Actual result
Abdul-Malik wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Abdul-Malik is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 62 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Abdul-Malik has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 56 points.
Risk flags
Abdul-Malik's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Trocoli has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
Abdul-MalikTrocoli
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Abdul-Malik
Trocoli
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'5"
80"
Reach
80"
28+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Abdul-Malik
Trocoli
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.6
4.2
57.8
Performance Avg
0.0
56
Quality of Victory
0
85
Momentum Score
0
Abdul-Malik
Trocoli
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
8.8
Style: Pressure
0.0
1.2
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Abdul-Malik
Trocoli
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Abdul-Malik
Trocoli
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/10 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Abdul-Malik
Trocoli
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Abdul-Malik
Trocoli
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Abdul-Malik
Trocoli
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Abdul-MalikTrocoli
Strike Zones
Abdul-Malik
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTrocoli
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Abdul-Malik targets the head (100% of attacks) — Trocoli absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Trocoli targets the head (67% of attacks) — Abdul-Malik absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Abdul-Malik
RND
Trocoli
0/0R00/0
Abdul-Malik · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Dustin StoltzfusSubmission
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
L · KO · R3
Yousri BelgarouiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Sub · R1
Antonio TrocoliSubmission
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
Upcoming
Cody BrundageDecision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · KO · R2
Nick KleinKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
Trocoli · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Mantas KondrataviciusDecision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Mansur Abdul-MalikSubmission
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Sub · R1
Tresean GoreSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R3
Shara MagomedovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06