UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2025
Middleweight
VS
95%
Abdul-Malik
5%
Trocoli
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:09
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Abdul-Malik
Abdul-Malik is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 69 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Abdul-Malik has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 56 points.
Abdul-Malik has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Trocoli has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Abdul-Malik
Trocoli
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'5"
80"
Reach
80"
28+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Abdul-Malik
Trocoli
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
72.7
4.2
63.8
Performance Avg
0.0
56
Quality of Victory
0
94
Momentum Score
0
Abdul-Malik
Trocoli
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
0.3
49%
Strike Accuracy
34%
8.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Abdul-Malik
Trocoli
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Abdul-Malik
Trocoli
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/10 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Abdul-Malik
Trocoli
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
0
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Abdul-Malik
Trocoli
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Abdul-Malik
Trocoli
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
9.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Abdul-MalikTrocoli
Strike Zones
Abdul-Malik
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTrocoli
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Abdul-Malik targets the head (100% of attacks) — Trocoli absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Trocoli targets the head (67% of attacks) — Abdul-Malik absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Abdul-Malik
RND
Trocoli
0/0R00/0
Abdul-Malik · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Trocoli · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Abdul-Malik · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Yousri BelgarouiRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Sub · R1
Antonio TrocoliRating 5Submission
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
Upcoming
Cody BrundageDecision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · KO · R2
Nick KleinRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · KO · R1
Dusko TodorovicRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
Trocoli · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Mantas KondrataviciusRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Mansur Abdul-MalikRating 3.4Submission
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Sub · R1
Tresean GoreRating 2.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 5.5KO/TKO
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