UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2
Indianapolis, USA
28 Aug 2013
Welterweight
VS
42%
Edwards
58%
Thatch
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:23
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Thatch
This is a genuine toss-up — Edwards at 42% vs Thatch at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Thatch has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Thatch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Edwards's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Thatch has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Edwards
Thatch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'2"
70"
Reach
+74"
43
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Edwards
Thatch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.9
17.8
35.1
Performance Avg
49.3
40
Quality of Victory
60
26
Momentum Score
33
Edwards
Thatch
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.4
40%
Strike Accuracy
45%
0.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
13
1
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance4
1Clinch9
0Ground4
Edwards
Thatch
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Edwards
Thatch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
52
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
6/16 fights
Edwards
Thatch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R4
W · KO · R1
Edwards
Thatch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Edwards
Thatch
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
EdwardsThatch
Strike Zones
Edwards
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedThatch
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Edwards targets the head (50% of attacks) — Thatch absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Thatch targets the head (76% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 76% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Edwards
RND
Thatch
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Edwards · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Thatch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Edwards · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Joe ProctorRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
L · Dec · R3
Ramsey NijemRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · KO · R1
Brandon ThatchRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
W · Sub · R1
Josh NeerRating 5Submission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · Dec · R3
John MaguireRating 5.5Decision
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
Thatch · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Niko PriceRating 2.2Submission
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Sub · R3
Siyar BahadurzadaRating 4Submission
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
L · Sub · R1
Gunnar NelsonRating 2.6Submission
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · Sub · R4
Benson HendersonRating 3.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
W · KO · R1
Paulo ThiagoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11