METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2
Indianapolis, USA
28 Aug 2013
Welterweight
VS
42%
Edwards
58%
Thatch
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:23
★ Official Result
Brandon ThatchwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:23
def. Justin Edwards · UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Thatch
→
Actual result
Thatch wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Edwards at 42% vs Thatch at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Thatch has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Risk flags
Edwards's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Thatch has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EdwardsThatch
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Edwards
Thatch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'2"
70"
Reach
+74"
43
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Edwards
Thatch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.9
17.8
35.1
Performance Avg
49.3
40
Quality of Victory
60
26
Momentum Score
33
Edwards
Thatch
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
4.4
Style: Pressure
8.0
4.6
Style: Volume
0.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
13
1
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance4
1Clinch9
0Ground4
Edwards
Thatch
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Edwards
Thatch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
52
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
6/16 fights
Edwards
Thatch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R4
W · KO · R1
Edwards
Thatch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Edwards
Thatch
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
EdwardsThatch
Strike Zones
Edwards
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedThatch
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Edwards targets the head (50% of attacks) — Thatch absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Thatch targets the head (76% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 76% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Edwards
RND
Thatch
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Edwards · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Joe ProctorSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
L · Dec · R3
Ramsey NijemDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · KO · R1
Brandon ThatchKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
W · Sub · R1
Josh NeerSubmission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · Dec · R3
John MaguireDecision
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
Thatch · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Niko PriceSubmission
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Sub · R3
Siyar BahadurzadaSubmission
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
L · Sub · R1
Gunnar NelsonSubmission
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · Sub · R4
Benson HendersonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
W · KO · R1
Paulo ThiagoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11