The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale
Las Vegas, USA
12 Jul 2015
Flyweight
VS
8%
Montague
92%
Gates
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:36
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gates
Gates is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gates has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.
Striking split: Montague throws more volume but Gates connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Montague's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gates has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Montague
Gates
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+72"
38+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Montague
Gates
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.5
18.0
0.0
Performance Avg
46.0
0
Quality of Victory
60
0
Momentum Score
43
Montague
Gates
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.9
22%
Strike Accuracy
55%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
15
2
Body
3
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground10
Montague
Gates
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Montague
Gates
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/18 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Montague
Gates
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
43
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
Montague
Gates
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Montague
Gates
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
MontagueGates
Strike Zones
Montague
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedGates
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Montague targets the body (50% of attacks) — Gates absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Gates targets the head (79% of attacks) — Montague absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Montague
RND
Gates
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Montague · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Gates · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Montague · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Willie GatesRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
L · KO · R1
John DodsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
Gates · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Yuta SasakiRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
L · KO · R3
Dustin OrtizRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux · 2015-08
W · KO · R1
Darrell MontagueRating 5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
L · Sub · R3
John MoragaRating 4Submission
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12