METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
New York City, USA
16 Nov 2024
Welterweight
VS
40%
Hafez
60%
Elliott
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:40
★ Official Result
Oban ElliottwinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:40
def. Bassil Hafez · UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Elliott
→
Actual result
Elliott wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Elliott holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Hafez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Elliott has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HafezElliott
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hafez
Elliott
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
72"
34
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hafez
Elliott
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.7
40.7
28.3
Performance Avg
40.0
25
Quality of Victory
33
33
Momentum Score
40
Hafez
Elliott
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.0
Style: Pressure
3.8
8.7
Style: Volume
6.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
9
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground8
Hafez
Elliott
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hafez
Elliott
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
64
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/13 fights
Chin rating based on
6/16 fights
Hafez
Elliott
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
40
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Hafez
Elliott
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hafez
Elliott
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
HafezElliott
Strike Zones
Hafez
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedElliott
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hafez targets the head (50% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Elliott targets the head (82% of attacks) — Hafez absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hafez
RND
Elliott
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hafez · Last 3
L · KO · R3
Oban ElliottKO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Mickey GallDecision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Jack Della MaddalenaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
Elliott · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Michael OliveiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
L · Sub · R2
Jonathan MicallefSubmission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Dec · R3
Seokhyeon KoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · KO · R3
Bassil HafezKO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Preston ParsonsDecision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07