UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
New York City, USA
16 Nov 2024
Welterweight
VS
36%
Hafez
64%
Elliott
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:40
Bassil
Bassil Hafez
"The Habibi"
9 – 4
5'11"72" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 28
Oban
Oban Elliott
"The Welsh Gangster"
12 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide28 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'0"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Elliott

Elliott holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Hafez has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Elliott has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Hafez
Elliott
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
72"
34
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hafez
Elliott
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.7
48.9
28.3
Performance Avg
44.0
25
Quality of Victory
33
33
Momentum Score
61
Hafez
Elliott
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.1
38%
Strike Accuracy
56%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
9
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground8
Hafez
Elliott
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hafez
Elliott
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/13 fights
Chin rating based on
5/16 fights
Hafez
Elliott
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
61
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Hafez
Elliott
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hafez
Elliott
Striking0.7 / 4.5Volume8.7 / 6.5Grappling2.4 / 1.6Wrestling1.7 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.0 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Hafez
Strike Zones
Elliott
Hafez
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Elliott
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hafez targets the head (50% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Elliott targets the head (82% of attacks) — Hafez absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hafez
RND
Elliott
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Hafez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0107.0L5.0W4.7L2023-072024-062024-11
WinLossTrend

Elliott · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.5W6.8L4.3L2024-022024-072024-112025-062026-01
WinLossTrend

Hafez · Last 3

L · KO · R3
Oban ElliottRating 4.7
KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Mickey GallRating 5
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07

Elliott · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jonathan MicallefRating 4.3
Submission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Dec · R3
Seokhyeon KoRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · KO · R3
Bassil HafezRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Preston ParsonsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Val WoodburnRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

News & Media

Bassil Hafez · Oban Elliott
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