UFC 81: Breaking Point
Las Vegas, USA
2 Feb 2008
Middleweight
VS
90%
Almeida
10%
Yundt
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:08
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Almeida
Almeida is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Almeida has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 39 points.
Striking split: Yundt throws more volume but Almeida connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Almeida's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Almeida
Yundt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
49
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Almeida
Yundt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
2.1
45.1
Performance Avg
0.0
39
Quality of Victory
0
72
Momentum Score
0
Almeida
Yundt
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.4
49%
Strike Accuracy
41%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground1
Almeida
Yundt
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Almeida
Yundt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
76
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/18 fights
Chin rating based on
2/14 fights
Almeida
Yundt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Almeida
Yundt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Almeida
Yundt
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
AlmeidaYundt
Strike Zones
Almeida
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedYundt
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Almeida targets the head (50% of attacks) — Yundt absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Yundt targets the head (100% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Almeida
RND
Yundt
0/0R00/0
Almeida · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Yundt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 1.5WinLossTrend
Almeida · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mike PyleRating 5.5Decision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
W · Dec · R3
TJ GrantRating 4.5Decision
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12
L · Sub · R1
Matt HughesRating 1.5Submission
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownRating 5.6Submission
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Kendall GroveRating 4.5Decision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08
Yundt · Last 2
L · Sub · R1
Rob KimmonsRating 1.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
L · Sub · R1
Ricardo AlmeidaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 81: Breaking Point · 2008-02