METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
Anaheim, USA
22 Jan 2022
Bantamweight
VS
91%
Gravely
9%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Tony GravelywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Saimon Oliveira · UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gravely
→
Actual result
Gravely wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Gravely is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gravely has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.
Risk flags
Gravely's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oliveira has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GravelyOliveira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gravely
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
69"
Reach
+72"
34+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gravely
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
33.2
3.4
44.8
Performance Avg
0.0
41
Quality of Victory
0
35
Momentum Score
0
Gravely
Oliveira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
5.0
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
8
0
Body
4
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance13
2Clinch0
6Ground0
Gravely
Oliveira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gravely
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
42
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/32 fights
Chin rating based on
4/25 fights
Gravely
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Gravely
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gravely
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
GravelyOliveira
Strike Zones
Gravely
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gravely targets the head (81% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (62% of attacks) — Gravely absorbs 62% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gravely
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
Gravely · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Javid BasharatDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09
W · KO · R1
Johnny MunozKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Saimon OliveiraDecision
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · 2022-01
L · KO · R2
Nate ManessKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09
Oliveira · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Luan LacerdaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
David MartinezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Daniel MarcosKO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Dec · R3
Tony GravelyDecision
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · 2022-01