UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt
Las Vegas, USA
29 May 2016
Heavyweight
VS
44%
Rocha
56%
Milstead
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:01
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Milstead
This is a genuine toss-up — Rocha at 44% vs Milstead at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Milstead throws more volume but Rocha connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Rocha's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rocha
Milstead
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
80"+
Reach
76"
47
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rocha
Milstead
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.1
19.1
43.0
Performance Avg
46.3
55
Quality of Victory
55
22
Momentum Score
52
Rocha
Milstead
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.9
48%
Strike Accuracy
47%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
25
3
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance22
1Clinch4
0Ground0
Rocha
Milstead
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Rocha
Milstead
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/8 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Rocha
Milstead
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
52
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
Rocha
Milstead
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rocha
Milstead
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
RochaMilstead
Strike Zones
Rocha
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedMilstead
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rocha targets the head (60% of attacks) — Milstead absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Milstead targets the head (96% of attacks) — Rocha absorbs 96% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rocha
RND
Milstead
0/0R00/0
Rocha · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.4WinLossTrend
Milstead · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Rocha · Last 4
L · KO · R3
Juan AdamsRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
W · KO · R2
Rashad CoulterRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · KO · R2
Adam MilsteadRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
L · KO · R1
Daniel OmielanczukRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
Milstead · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Mike RodriguezRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Jordan JohnsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
Upcoming
Curtis BlaydesUFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
W · KO · R2
Chris de la RochaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05