METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
Houston, USA
15 May 2021
Bantamweight
VS
64%
Schnell
36%
Bontorin
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Schnell
Schnell holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Bontorin has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Schnell's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
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Schnell
Bontorin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'5"
70"+
Reach
67"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Schnell
Bontorin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.5
21.1
39.6
Performance Avg
32.5
37
Quality of Victory
28
45
Momentum Score
59
Schnell
Bontorin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
4.3
Style: Pressure
1.2
5.5
Style: Volume
4.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
26
5
Body
1
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
13Distance18
1Clinch1
0Ground12
Schnell
Bontorin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.8
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
3.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
4.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Schnell
Bontorin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
74
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
6
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/27 fights
Chin rating based on
6/20 fights
Schnell
Bontorin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · R1
Schnell
Bontorin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Schnell
Bontorin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.2
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
SchnellBontorin
Strike Zones
Schnell
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedBontorin
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Schnell targets the head (57% of attacks) — Bontorin absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Bontorin targets the head (84% of attacks) — Schnell absorbs 84% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Schnell
RND
Bontorin
0/0R00/0
Schnell · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alessandro CostaKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
Joseph MoralesSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
Jimmy FlickDecision
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L · Sub · R2
Cody DurdenSubmission
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L · KO · R2
Steve ErcegKO/TKO
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Bontorin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Brandon RoyvalDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
Upcoming
Matt SchnellUFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · KO · R1
Kai Kara-FranceKO/TKO
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Ray BorgDecision
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W · R1
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