UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
Las Vegas, USA
13 Feb 2021
Middleweight
VS
49%
Vieira
51%
Hernandez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:53
Rodolfo
Rodolfo Vieira
11 – 5
6'0"73" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 61
AH
Anthony Hernandez
"Fluffy"
15 – 3
Pressure Fighter32 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"
CFR 64

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hernandez

This is a genuine toss-up — Vieira at 49% vs Hernandez at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Hernandez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Vieira's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hernandez has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Vieira
Hernandez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+75"
36
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Vieira
Hernandez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.7
63.7
49.5
Performance Avg
56.2
46
Quality of Victory
44
91
Momentum Score
98
Vieira
Hernandez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.1
52%
Strike Accuracy
66%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
12
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance10
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Vieira
Hernandez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
7.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.0
5.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Vieira
Hernandez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
44
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/16 fights
Chin rating based on
12/18 fights
Vieira
Hernandez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
98
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R5
W · Sub · R2
Vieira
Hernandez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
78%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
5
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Vieira
Hernandez
Striking1.1 / 3.7Volume2.4 / 3.3Grappling7.1 / 5.0Wrestling5.0 / 3.5Submission8.3 / 5.6Pressure7.5 / 7.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
7.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.0
5.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.5
8.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.6
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Vieira
Strike Zones
Hernandez
Vieira
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD1BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Hernandez
Attacking
12HEAD1BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Vieira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Hernandez targets the head (92% of attacks) — Vieira absorbs 92% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Vieira
RND
Hernandez
0/0R00/0

Vieira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.2W5.0W4.2L5.5W6.2L5.8W5.0W6.0L5.7W5.7L5.5L2019-082021-072024-022025-112026-04
WinLossTrend

Hernandez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0102.8L6.3W2.1L6.5W4.5W5.5W6.9W6.2W6.1W5.8W6.8W3.9L2019-022021-022023-052025-022026-02
WinLossTrend

Vieira · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Eric McConicoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · KO · R3
Bo NickalRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Tresean GoreRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Sub · R1
Armen PetrosyanRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02

Hernandez · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Sean StricklandRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R4
Roman DolidzeRating 6.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Brendan AllenRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · KO · R5
Michel PereiraRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R2
Roman KopylovRating 6.2
Submission
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

News & Media

Rodolfo Vieira · Anthony Hernandez
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