UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
Dallas, USA
30 Jul 2022
Flyweight
VS
50%
Pantoja
50%
Perez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:31
Alexandre
Alexandre Pantoja
"The Cannibal"
30 – 6
5'5"67" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 61
Alex
Alex Perez
26 – 10
Well-Rounded34 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'6"
CFR 61

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pantoja

This is a genuine toss-up — Pantoja at 50% vs Perez at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Perez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Perez has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Pantoja
Perez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
67"+
Reach
65"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pantoja
Perez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.7
60.7
60.2
Performance Avg
52.7
49
Quality of Victory
50
65
Momentum Score
100
Pantoja
Perez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.3
49%
Strike Accuracy
49%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
9
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance10
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Pantoja
Perez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
3.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pantoja
Perez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
18
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/36 fights
Chin rating based on
15/36 fights
Pantoja
Perez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
100
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Pantoja
Perez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
6
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pantoja
Perez
Striking3.0 / 6.1Volume5.0 / 3.1Grappling4.5 / 2.6Wrestling3.1 / 1.8Submission4.3 / 2.5Pressure6.3 / 7.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
4.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
3.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
Pantoja
Strike Zones
Perez
Pantoja
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD0BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Perez
Attacking
9HEAD0BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pantoja targets the head (88% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Perez targets the head (90% of attacks) — Pantoja absorbs 90% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pantoja
RND
Perez
0/0R00/0

Pantoja · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.5W5.5L5.4W5.0W5.0W6.6L5.2W5.5L6.2W6.0W6.3W5.4W5.3W5.1W5.1W6.1W3.1L2017-012019-042021-082024-122025-12
WinLossTrend

Perez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.2W4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W2.6L2.8L6.9L5.3W3.9L5.1L5.9W2017-122019-032022-072025-112026-01
WinLossTrend

Pantoja · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Joshua VanRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Kai Kara-FranceRating 6.1
Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Sub · R2
Kai AsakuraRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R5
Steve ErcegRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Brandon RoyvalRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

Perez · Last 5

Upcoming
Sumudaerji
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Charles JohnsonRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · Sub · R3
Asu AlmabayevRating 5.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Tatsuro TairaRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Matheus NicolauRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04

News & Media

Alexandre Pantoja · Alex Perez
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