UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
Las Vegas, USA
10 Jul 2021
Welterweight
VS
51%
Price
49%
Pereira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Niko
Niko Price
"The Hybrid"
16 – 11
6'0"76" reachOrthodox36 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 48
Michel
Michel Pereira
"Demolidor"
32 – 14
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'1"
CFR 47

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Price

This is a genuine toss-up — Price at 51% vs Pereira at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Price throws more volume but Pereira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Price's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pereira has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Price
Pereira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
76"+
Reach
73"
36
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Price
Pereira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.4
47.1
46.0
Performance Avg
50.5
49
Quality of Victory
40
65
Momentum Score
39
Price
Pereira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.6
1.6
46%
Strike Accuracy
53%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
21
10
Body
12
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
37Distance25
8Clinch8
2Ground0
Price
Pereira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.6
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Price
Pereira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
50
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/27 fights
Chin rating based on
16/46 fights
Price
Pereira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
39
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R5
Price
Pereira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Price
Pereira
Striking5.8 / 3.3Volume2.8 / 5.3Grappling2.6 / 3.6Wrestling1.8 / 2.5Submission2.5 / 3.0Pressure6.5 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Price
Strike Zones
Pereira
Price
Attacking
31HEAD10BODY6LEGS47 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD12BODY0LEGS33 absorbed
Pereira
Attacking
21HEAD12BODY0LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
31HEAD10BODY6LEGS47 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Price targets the head (66% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 66% of strikes there
🎯Pereira targets the head (64% of attacks) — Price absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Price
RND
Pereira
0/0R00/0

Price · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W4.2L5.2W6.1W3.0L5.1W3.8L5.0W7.0L6.1L4.5W5.1L1.8L4.5W5.9L5.1L1.9L2.3L2016-122018-092021-072024-102026-03
WinLossTrend

Pereira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.0W5.5L5.5L5.5W5.9W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.5W6.0W5.0W5.4L6.3L2.1L5.5W2019-052020-122023-102025-042026-02
WinLossTrend

Price · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Michael ChiesaRating 2.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Sub · R2
Jacobe SmithRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Themba GorimboRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

Pereira · Last 5

Upcoming
Shara Magomedov
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Zach ReeseRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Kyle DaukausRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Abus MagomedovRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R5
Anthony HernandezRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

News & Media

Niko Price · Michel Pereira
← Back to fights