UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
8 Mar 2025
Middleweight
VS
50%
Santos
50%
Diaz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Djorden
Djorden Santos
"Shakur"
11 – 3
6'0"75" reachOrthodox28 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 30
Ozzy
Ozzy Diaz
10 – 4
Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'4"
CFR 31

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Santos

This is a genuine toss-up — Santos at 50% vs Diaz at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Diaz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Diaz has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Santos
Diaz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+79"
28+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Diaz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.3
30.6
28.3
Performance Avg
28.3
25
Quality of Victory
25
27
Momentum Score
40
Santos
Diaz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
3.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
51%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
53
Head
57
3
Body
7
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
56Distance59
0Clinch5
1Ground0
Santos
Diaz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Santos
Diaz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
56
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/14 fights
Chin rating based on
3/14 fights
Santos
Diaz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
27
40
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Santos
Diaz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Santos
Diaz
Striking0.7 / 0.7Volume8.7 / 8.7Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.0 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Santos
Strike Zones
Diaz
Santos
Attacking
53HEAD3BODY1LEGS57 landed
Absorbing
57HEAD7BODY0LEGS64 absorbed
Diaz
Attacking
57HEAD7BODY0LEGS64 landed
Absorbing
53HEAD3BODY1LEGS57 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (93% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Diaz targets the head (89% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Santos
RND
Diaz
0/0R00/0

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.5L5.2W6.1L2025-032025-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Diaz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0103.5L4.5W4.9L2024-112025-032026-05
WinLossTrend

Santos · Last 3

L · Sub · R3
Baisangur SusurkaevRating 6.1
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Danny BarlowRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Ozzy DiazRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03

Diaz · Last 3

L · KO · R2
Ateba GautierRating 4.9
KO/TKO
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Djorden SantosRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R1
Zhang MingyangRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11

News & Media

Djorden Santos · Ozzy Diaz
← Back to fights