METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
Las Vegas, USA
9 Jul 2016
Women's Bantamweight
VS
21%
Zingano
79%
Pena
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Julianna PenawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Cat Zingano · UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pena
→
Actual result
Pena wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Pena is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 48 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Zingano's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pena has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ZinganoPena
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Zingano
Pena
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
68"
Reach
+69"
44
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Zingano
Pena
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
65.6
49.1
Performance Avg
58.0
53
Quality of Victory
52
43
Momentum Score
100
Zingano
Pena
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.5
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
5.5
3.5
Style: Volume
5.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
6
0
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
1Ground9
Zingano
Pena
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Zingano
Pena
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
62
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
12/19 fights
Zingano
Pena
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
100
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
Zingano
Pena
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Zingano
Pena
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
ZinganoPena
Strike Zones
Zingano
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedPena
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Zingano targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pena absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Pena targets the head (67% of attacks) — Zingano absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Zingano
RND
Pena
0/0R00/0
Zingano · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Megan AndersonKO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Marion ReneauDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraDecision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · Dec · R3
Julianna PenaDecision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
L · Sub · R1
Ronda RouseySubmission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
Pena · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Kayla HarrisonSubmission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Raquel PenningtonDecision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R5
Amanda NunesDecision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
W · Sub · R2
Amanda NunesSubmission
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Sub · R3
Sara McMannSubmission
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01