UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy
Las Vegas, USA
5 Apr 2025
Heavyweight
VS
47%
Buday
53%
Satybaldiev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Martin
Martin Buday
"Badys"
16 – 2
6'4"77" reachOrthodox34 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 55
Uran
Uran Satybaldiev
"Gorilla"
9 – 1
Submission Hunter31 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'4"
CFR 61

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Satybaldiev

This is a genuine toss-up — Buday at 47% vs Satybaldiev at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Satybaldiev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Buday has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Buday
Satybaldiev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
77"
Reach
+79"
34
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Buday
Satybaldiev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.5
60.9
52.5
Performance Avg
52.4
29
Quality of Victory
54
78
Momentum Score
59
Buday
Satybaldiev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.7
53%
Strike Accuracy
23%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
5
1
Body
3
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
10Distance7
3Clinch3
0Ground0
Buday
Satybaldiev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.9
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Buday
Satybaldiev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/18 fights
Chin rating based on
2/10 fights
Buday
Satybaldiev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
59
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Buday
Satybaldiev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Buday
Satybaldiev
Striking1.8 / 1.0Volume8.6 / 1.0Grappling3.2 / 8.0Wrestling2.2 / 5.6Submission1.4 / 10.0Pressure3.6 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
8.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Buday
Strike Zones
Satybaldiev
Buday
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY3LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY2LEGS10 absorbed
Satybaldiev
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY2LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY3LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Buday targets the head (69% of attacks) — Satybaldiev absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Satybaldiev targets the head (50% of attacks) — Buday absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Buday
RND
Satybaldiev
0/0R00/0

Buday · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5W4.5W4.5W5.1W3.4L5.2W5.8W4.5W2022-042023-042023-122025-042025-07
WinLossTrend

Satybaldiev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0106.5L5.0W2025-042025-08
WinLossTrend

Buday · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Marcus BuchechaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Uran SatybaldievRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Shamil GazievRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Sub · R1
Josh ParisianRating 5.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08

Satybaldiev · Last 2

W · Sub · R1
Diyar NurgozhayRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04

News & Media

Martin Buday · Uran Satybaldiev
← Back to fights