METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy
Las Vegas, USA
5 Apr 2025
Heavyweight
VS
47%
Buday
53%
Satybaldiev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Martin BudaywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Uran Satybaldiev · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Satybaldiev
→
Actual result
Buday wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Buday at 47% vs Satybaldiev at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Satybaldiev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BudaySatybaldiev
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Buday
Satybaldiev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
77"
Reach
+79"
34
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Buday
Satybaldiev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.5
60.9
52.5
Performance Avg
52.4
29
Quality of Victory
54
78
Momentum Score
59
Buday
Satybaldiev
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
8.5
8.6
Style: Volume
1.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
5
1
Body
3
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
10Distance7
3Clinch3
0Ground0
Buday
Satybaldiev
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Buday
Satybaldiev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/18 fights
Chin rating based on
2/10 fights
Buday
Satybaldiev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
59
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Buday
Satybaldiev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Buday
Satybaldiev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
8.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
BudaySatybaldiev
Strike Zones
Buday
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedSatybaldiev
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Buday targets the head (69% of attacks) — Satybaldiev absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Satybaldiev targets the head (50% of attacks) — Buday absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Buday
RND
Satybaldiev
0/0R00/0
Buday · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Marcus BuchechaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Uran SatybaldievDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiDecision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Shamil GazievKO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Sub · R1
Josh ParisianSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
Satybaldiev · Last 2
W · Sub · R1
Diyar NurgozhaySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04