UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards
San Antonio, USA
20 Jul 2019
Featherweight
VS
58%
Caceres
42%
Peterson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Alex
Alex Caceres
"Bruce Leeroy"
21 – 15
5'10"73" reachSouthpaw37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 40
SP
Steven Peterson
"Ocho"
19 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'10"
CFR 28

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Caceres

This is a genuine toss-up — Caceres at 58% vs Peterson at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Caceres has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Caceres's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Caceres
Peterson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
70"
37
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Caceres
Peterson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.7
28.4
42.2
Performance Avg
36.0
34
Quality of Victory
35
76
Momentum Score
25
Caceres
Peterson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
40%
1.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
16
12
Body
6
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
31Distance22
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Caceres
Peterson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Caceres
Peterson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
90
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/36 fights
Chin rating based on
8/30 fights
Caceres
Peterson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
25
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Caceres
Peterson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Caceres
Peterson
Striking1.7 / 4.1Volume6.1 / 6.1Grappling3.5 / 1.6Wrestling2.5 / 1.1Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure3.8 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Caceres
Strike Zones
Peterson
Caceres
Attacking
19HEAD12BODY0LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD6BODY2LEGS24 absorbed
Peterson
Attacking
16HEAD6BODY2LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD12BODY0LEGS31 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Caceres targets the head (61% of attacks) — Peterson absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Peterson targets the head (67% of attacks) — Caceres absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Caceres
RND
Peterson
0/0R00/0

Caceres · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0101.5L2.8L4.5W5.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W5.5W4.0L5.5L1.5L4.5W4.5W7.1L2.8L4.2W5.5L4.5W2.3L4.5W5.3W5.0W4.5W5.4W6.3L5.2W5.4W6.5L6.6L2011-032014-072017-112022-032024-05
WinLossTrend

Peterson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L4.5W5.5L5.7L5.2W5.3W5.7L5.5L2018-022019-032019-092022-022023-03
WinLossTrend

Caceres · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Sodiq YusuffRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03

Peterson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Lucas AlexanderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Julian ErosaRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · KO · R2
Martin BravoRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07

News & Media

Alex Caceres · Steven Peterson
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