UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo
Las Vegas, USA
15 Oct 2022
Bantamweight
VS
37%
Assuncao
63%
Henry
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RA
Raphael Assuncao
28 – 10
5'5"66" reachOrthodox43 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 31
Victor
Victor Henry
"La Mangosta"
25 – 7
Well-Rounded39 yrsSwitch68" reach5'7"
CFR 53

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Henry

Henry holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Assuncao has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Henry has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Assuncao's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Assuncao
Henry
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'7"
66"
Reach
+68"
43
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Assuncao
Henry
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.4
52.9
44.2
Performance Avg
45.4
32
Quality of Victory
31
61
Momentum Score
81
Assuncao
Henry
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.0
43%
Strike Accuracy
55%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
9
2
Body
6
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
16Distance17
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Assuncao
Henry
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Assuncao
Henry
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
86
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/38 fights
Chin rating based on
8/32 fights
Assuncao
Henry
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
81
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R3
Upcoming
Assuncao
Henry
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Assuncao
Henry
Striking2.9 / 3.8Volume7.3 / 7.3Grappling2.5 / 1.8Wrestling1.7 / 1.3Submission0.8 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
Assuncao
Strike Zones
Henry
Assuncao
Attacking
16HEAD2BODY2LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD6BODY3LEGS18 absorbed
Henry
Attacking
9HEAD6BODY3LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD2BODY2LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Assuncao targets the head (80% of attacks) — Henry absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Henry targets the head (50% of attacks) — Assuncao absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Assuncao
RND
Henry
0/0R00/0

Assuncao · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0101.5L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.2W4.6W5.0W4.5W5.6L5.5W4.5W5.5W5.7W1.5L7.0L3.8L3.4L5.4W4.8L2011-032013-102017-062020-062023-03
WinLossTrend

Henry · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.3W5.5L4.5W5.9W3.5L4.5W2022-012022-102023-032024-042024-112025-04
WinLossTrend

Assuncao · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Davey GrantRating 4.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
W · Dec · R3
Victor HenryRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · KO · R2
Ricky SimonRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
L · KO · R2
Cody GarbrandtRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Cory SandhagenRating 7
Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08

Henry · Last 5

Upcoming
Bryce Mitchell
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Pedro FalcaoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Sub · R2
Charles JourdainRating 3.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · KO · R3
Rani YahyaRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
Upcoming
Javid Basharat
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

News & Media

Raphael Assuncao · Victor Henry
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