UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
Vancouver, Canada
10 Jun 2023
Middleweight
VS
56%
Imavov
44%
Curtis
Win Probability
Nassourdine
Nassourdine Imavov
"The Sniper"
17 – 4
6'3"75" reachOrthodox30 yrs5-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 64
Chris
Chris Curtis
"Action-Man"
32 – 13
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox75" reach5'10"
CFR 50

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Imavov

This is a genuine toss-up — Imavov at 56% vs Curtis at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Curtis throws more volume but Imavov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Imavov
Curtis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'10"
75"
Reach
75"
30+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Imavov
Curtis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.8
49.5
56.4
Performance Avg
46.3
39
Quality of Victory
41
90
Momentum Score
54
Imavov
Curtis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.3
57%
Strike Accuracy
53%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
3
4
Body
3
8
Leg
5
RangeRange
26Distance11
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Imavov
Curtis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Imavov
Curtis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
70
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/21 fights
Chin rating based on
12/45 fights
Imavov
Curtis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
54
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Imavov
Curtis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Imavov
Curtis
Striking6.1 / 6.1Volume6.1 / 5.1Grappling1.3 / 1.2Wrestling0.9 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.6 / 5.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Imavov
Strike Zones
Curtis
Imavov
Attacking
16HEAD4BODY8LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD3BODY5LEGS11 absorbed
Curtis
Attacking
3HEAD3BODY5LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD4BODY8LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Imavov targets the head (57% of attacks) — Curtis absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Curtis targets the legs (45% of attacks) — Imavov absorbs 45% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Imavov
RND
Curtis
0/0R00/0

Imavov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.9
0104.5W5.5L5.2W6.7W5.7W6.6L5.9W6.3W5.8W6.5W5.9W2020-102021-112024-022025-022025-09
WinLossTrend

Curtis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.9
0105.0W6.6W5.8W6.4L6.4W5.8L4.5W6.8L5.0L5.1W7.1L2021-112022-072024-012025-072026-03
WinLossTrend

Imavov · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Caio BorralhoRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Brendan AllenRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · KO · R4
Jared CannonierRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R5
Roman DolidzeRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02

Curtis · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Myktybek OrolbaiRating 7.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Roman KopylovRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R5
Brendan AllenRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

News & Media

Nassourdine Imavov · Chris Curtis
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