UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
Las Vegas, USA
18 Jan 2020
Women's Flyweight
VS
32%
Mazo
68%
Aldrich
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SM
Sabina Mazo
"Colombian Queen"
9 – 4
5'7"70" reachOrthodox29 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 23
JJ
JJ Aldrich
15 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak33 yrsSouthpaw67" reach5'5"
CFR 47

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Aldrich

Aldrich holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Mazo has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Mazo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Aldrich has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Mazo
Aldrich
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
70"+
Reach
67"
29+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Mazo
Aldrich
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.5
47.4
36.1
Performance Avg
42.5
32
Quality of Victory
28
49
Momentum Score
80
Mazo
Aldrich
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.7
50%
Strike Accuracy
48%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
14
18
Body
3
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
21Distance11
22Clinch6
0Ground0
Mazo
Aldrich
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mazo
Aldrich
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
58
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
12 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/13 fights
Chin rating based on
17/22 fights
Mazo
Aldrich
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
80
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Mazo
Aldrich
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
9%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mazo
Aldrich
Striking0.9 / 2.2Volume6.2 / 8.6Grappling4.3 / 2.2Wrestling3.0 / 1.5Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 2.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
Mazo
Strike Zones
Aldrich
Mazo
Attacking
18HEAD18BODY7LEGS43 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD3BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Aldrich
Attacking
14HEAD3BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD18BODY7LEGS43 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Mazo targets the head (42% of attacks) — Aldrich absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Aldrich targets the head (82% of attacks) — Mazo absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mazo
RND
Aldrich
0/0R00/0

Mazo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0106.1L4.5W5.1W5.5W5.5L4.3L3.6L2019-032020-012021-022022-03
WinLossTrend

Aldrich · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L4.5W4.5W4.8W3.7L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.7W5.7W4.3L5.5L5.2W5.5W5.8L4.9W5.2W2016-122019-102022-062025-032026-04
WinLossTrend

Mazo · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Miranda MaverickRating 3.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · Sub · R3
Mariya AgapovaRating 4.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Alexis DavisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · 2021-02
W · Sub · R3
Justine KishRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01

Aldrich · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn HorthRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Veronica HardyRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Montana De La RosaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
W · KO · R2
Liang NaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08

News & Media

Sabina Mazo · JJ Aldrich
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