METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
Cleveland, USA
10 Sept 2016
Bantamweight
VS
57%
Faber
43%
Rivera
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jimmie RiverawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Urijah Faber · UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Faber
→
Actual result
Rivera wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Faber at 57% vs Rivera at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Faber has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Faber's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FaberRivera
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Faber
Rivera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'4"
67"
Reach
+68"
47
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Faber
Rivera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.8
15.8
49.4
Performance Avg
43.5
42
Quality of Victory
30
100
Momentum Score
58
Faber
Rivera
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
2.9
4.1
Style: Volume
8.1
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
6
0
Body
6
2
Leg
7
RangeRange
5Distance19
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Faber
Rivera
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
3.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
5.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
6
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Faber
Rivera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/46 fights
Chin rating based on
11/28 fights
Faber
Rivera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
58
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Faber
Rivera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
14%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
6
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Faber
Rivera
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
5.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
FaberRivera
Strike Zones
Faber
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedRivera
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Faber targets the head (60% of attacks) — Rivera absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Rivera targets the legs (37% of attacks) — Faber absorbs 37% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Faber
RND
Rivera
0/0R00/0
Faber · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Petr YanKO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Ricky SimonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
Brad PickettDecision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Jimmie RiveraDecision
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09
L · Dec · R5
Dominick CruzDecision
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
Rivera · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · 2021-02
W · Dec · R3
Cody StamannDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Petr YanDecision
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
L · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
John DodsonDecision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09