UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2011
Welterweight
VS
56%
Kim
44%
Pierson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Kim
This is a genuine toss-up — Kim at 56% vs Pierson at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Kim has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Pierson throws more volume but Kim connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Kim's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Kim
Pierson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
76"
Reach
76"
44+
Age
50
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Kim
Pierson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.1
15.6
52.3
Performance Avg
41.7
36
Quality of Victory
25
99
Momentum Score
65
Kim
Pierson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.1
47%
Strike Accuracy
34%
4.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
4
1
Body
1
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance5
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Kim
Pierson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kim
Pierson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/26 fights
Chin rating based on
6/20 fights
Kim
Pierson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
99
65
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Kim
Pierson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kim
Pierson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.3
KimPierson
Strike Zones
Kim
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedPierson
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kim targets the head (55% of attacks) — Pierson absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Pierson targets the head (67% of attacks) — Kim absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kim
RND
Pierson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Kim · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Pierson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Kim · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8Decision
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W · Dec · R3
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W · KO · R1
Dominic WatersRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · Sub · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 5.5Submission
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
L · KO · R1
Tyron WoodleyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · 2014-08
Pierson · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Kenny RobertsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
W · Dec · R3
Lance BenoistRating 4.5Decision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
W · Dec · R3
Jake HechtRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Dong Hyun KimRating 5.5Decision
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
L · KO · R1
Jake EllenbergerRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04