METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland
Orlando, USA
3 Dec 2022
Heavyweight
VS
40%
Tuivasa
60%
Pavlovich
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:54
Tai
Tai Tuivasa
"Bam Bam"
15 – 10
6'2"75" reachSouthpaw33 yrs7-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 43
Sergei
Sergei Pavlovich
20 – 3
Knockout Artist3-fight win streak34 yrsSouthpaw84" reach6'3"
CFR 64
★ Official Result
Sergei PavlovichwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:54
def. Tai Tuivasa · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pavlovich
→
Actual result
Pavlovich wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Pavlovich holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Tuivasa has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Tuivasa's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pavlovich has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
TuivasaPavlovich
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tuivasa
Pavlovich
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+84"
33+
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Tuivasa
Pavlovich
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.2
63.5
50.4
Performance Avg
62.0
54
Quality of Victory
53
20
Momentum Score
72
Tuivasa
Pavlovich
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.6
/ 10
9.3
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
7.7
1.9
Style: Volume
3.3
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
23
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance16
0Clinch1
0Ground6
Tuivasa
Pavlovich
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Tuivasa
Pavlovich
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/25 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Tuivasa
Pavlovich
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
72
7-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Tuivasa
Pavlovich
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
78%
7
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tuivasa
Pavlovich
Striking9.6 / 9.3Volume1.9 / 3.3Grappling0.3 / 0.5Wrestling0.2 / 0.4Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.5 / 7.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.3
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
1.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Tuivasa
Strike Zones
Pavlovich
Tuivasa
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD0BODY0LEGS23 absorbed
Pavlovich
Attacking
23HEAD0BODY0LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tuivasa targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pavlovich absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Pavlovich targets the head (100% of attacks) — Tuivasa absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tuivasa
RND
Pavlovich
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Tuivasa · Last 5

Upcoming
Robelis Despaigne
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Louie Sutherland
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Tallison Teixeira
Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Dec · R3
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Marcin Tybura
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03

Pavlovich · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Tallison Teixeira
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Alexander Volkov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Tom Aspinall
KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11

News & Media

Tai Tuivasa · Sergei Pavlovich
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