UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites
Glasgow, United Kingdom
18 Jul 2015
Lightweight
VS
66%
Ray
34%
Mafra
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:30
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ray
Ray holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Mafra has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Ray throws more volume but Mafra connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Ray's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mafra has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ray
Mafra
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
70"
Reach
70"
36+
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ray
Mafra
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
8.1
46.0
Performance Avg
25.0
34
Quality of Victory
25
46
Momentum Score
17
Ray
Mafra
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.4
48%
Strike Accuracy
55%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
8
1
Body
3
2
Leg
12
RangeRange
15Distance22
1Clinch1
3Ground0
Ray
Mafra
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ray
Mafra
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
44
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/32 fights
Chin rating based on
4/17 fights
Ray
Mafra
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
17
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
Ray
Mafra
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ray
Mafra
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
RayMafra
Strike Zones
Ray
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedMafra
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ray targets the head (84% of attacks) — Mafra absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Mafra targets the legs (52% of attacks) — Ray absorbs 52% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ray
RND
Mafra
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ray · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Mafra · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.2WinLossTrend
Ray · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
L · KO · R1
Leonardo SantosRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Jessin AyariRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Kajan JohnsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Paul FelderRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07
Mafra · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Stevie RayRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Cain CarrizosaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
L · Sub · R2
Rick StoryRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · KO · R3
Thiago PerpetuoRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2 · 2012-06