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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 88: Breakthrough
Atlanta, USA
6 Sept 2008
Lightweight
VS
50%
Pellegrino
50%
Tavares
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
KP
Kurt Pellegrino
"Batman"
16 – 7
5'8"70" reachOrthodox47 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
TT
Thiago Tavares
21 – 7
Well-Rounded41 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 18
★ Official Result
Kurt PellegrinowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Thiago Tavares · UFC 88: Breakthrough

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pellegrino
→
Actual result
Pellegrino wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Pellegrino at 50% vs Tavares at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Tavares has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Tavares has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PellegrinoTavares
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pellegrino
Tavares
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
70"
47
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pellegrino
Tavares
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.2
18.0
50.1
Performance Avg
48.8
45
Quality of Victory
42
48
Momentum Score
81
Pellegrino
Tavares
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
1.1
42%
Strike Accuracy
44%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
4
4
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance6
3Clinch0
2Ground0
Pellegrino
Tavares
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.0
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pellegrino
Tavares
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
5
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
18/28 fights
Pellegrino
Tavares
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
81
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Pellegrino
Tavares
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
5
2
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pellegrino
Tavares
Striking2.6 / 2.2Volume3.5 / 4.4Grappling5.3 / 5.0Wrestling3.7 / 3.5Submission5.7 / 5.0Pressure6.8 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.0
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.5
5.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
Pellegrino
Strike Zones
Tavares
Pellegrino
Attacking
7HEAD4BODY1LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Tavares
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD4BODY1LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pellegrino targets the head (58% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Tavares targets the head (67% of attacks) — Pellegrino absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pellegrino
RND
Tavares
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Pellegrino · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.0L5.0W5.0W5.5L5.2W2.8L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.2W5.5L5.5L2006-072007-082008-092010-032011-03
WinLossTrend

Tavares · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W2.8L5.5L4.5W5.0W2.8L5.2W4.5W1.5L5.0W5.0W5.4L5.5W3.3L2007-042008-092012-012015-112016-07
WinLossTrend

Pellegrino · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gleison TibauRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
George SotiropoulosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R2
Fabricio CamoesRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Josh NeerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08
W · Sub · R2
Rob EmersonRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02

Tavares · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Dooho ChoiRating 3.3
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · 2016-07
W · Sub · R1
Clay GuidaRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · KO · R3
Brian OrtegaRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
W · Sub · R1
Robert PeraltaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08
W · Sub · R1
Justin SalasRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11

News & Media

Kurt Pellegrino · Thiago Tavares
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