METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie
Kallang, Singapore
26 Aug 2023
Welterweight
VS
94%
Goff
6%
Kinoshita
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:49
★ Official Result
Billy Ray GoffwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:49
def. Yusaku Kinoshita · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Goff
→
Actual result
Goff wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Goff is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 46 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Goff has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.
Risk flags
Goff's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Kinoshita has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GoffKinoshita
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Goff
Kinoshita
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
72"+
Reach
71"
28
Age
+26
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Goff
Kinoshita
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.2
3.4
46.0
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
29
Momentum Score
0
Goff
Kinoshita
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
7.8
Style: Pressure
0.0
0.5
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
15
13
Body
2
14
Leg
0
RangeRange
36Distance17
2Clinch0
2Ground0
Goff
Kinoshita
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Goff
Kinoshita
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
56
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/13 fights
Chin rating based on
2/9 fights
Goff
Kinoshita
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
29
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Goff
Kinoshita
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Goff
Kinoshita
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
GoffKinoshita
Strike Zones
Goff
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedKinoshita
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Goff targets the legs (35% of attacks) — Kinoshita absorbs 35% of strikes there
🎯Kinoshita targets the head (88% of attacks) — Goff absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Goff
RND
Kinoshita
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Goff · Last 4
L · KO · R3
Ty MillerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08
L · Sub · R1
Ramiz BrahimajSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Trey WatersDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · KO · R1
Yusaku KinoshitaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
Kinoshita · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Billy Ray GoffKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Adam FugittKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02