UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie
Kallang, Singapore
26 Aug 2023
Welterweight
VS
94%
Goff
6%
Kinoshita
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:49
BR
Billy Ray Goff
9 – 4
5'10"72" reachSwitch27 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 56
YK
Yusaku Kinoshita
6 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide25 yrsSouthpaw71" reach6'0"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Goff

Goff is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 52 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Goff has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.

Striking split: Kinoshita throws more volume but Goff connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Kinoshita has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Goff
Kinoshita
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
72"+
Reach
71"
27
Age
+25
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Goff
Kinoshita
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.7
3.4
49.3
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
43
Momentum Score
0
Goff
Kinoshita
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.4
5.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
35%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
15
13
Body
2
14
Leg
0
RangeRange
36Distance17
2Clinch0
2Ground0
Goff
Kinoshita
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Goff
Kinoshita
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
56
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/13 fights
Chin rating based on
2/9 fights
Goff
Kinoshita
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Goff
Kinoshita
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Goff
Kinoshita
Striking10.0 / 0.0Volume0.7 / 0.0Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Goff
Strike Zones
Kinoshita
Goff
Attacking
13HEAD13BODY14LEGS40 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD2BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Kinoshita
Attacking
15HEAD2BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD13BODY14LEGS40 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Goff targets the legs (35% of attacks) — Kinoshita absorbs 35% of strikes there
🎯Kinoshita targets the head (88% of attacks) — Goff absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Goff
RND
Kinoshita
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Goff · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W6.1L3.0L2023-082024-052025-05
WinLossTrend

Kinoshita · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.1
0101.7L2.5L2023-022023-08
WinLossTrend

Goff · Last 3

L · Sub · R1
Ramiz BrahimajRating 3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Trey WatersRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · KO · R1
Yusaku KinoshitaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08

Kinoshita · Last 2

L · KO · R1
Billy Ray GoffRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Adam FugittRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02

News & Media

Billy Ray Goff · Yusaku Kinoshita
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