METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates
Kansas City, USA
26 Apr 2025
Lightweight
VS
54%
Elder
46%
Young
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Evan ElderwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Gauge Young · UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Elder
→
Actual result
Elder wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Elder at 54% vs Young at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ElderYoung
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Elder
Young
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
72"+
Reach
70"
29
Age
+26
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Elder
Young
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.1
39.4
43.9
Performance Avg
35.0
33
Quality of Victory
25
48
Momentum Score
50
Elder
Young
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
4.1
Style: Pressure
1.5
6.5
Style: Volume
9.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
15
12
Body
16
8
Leg
5
RangeRange
40Distance36
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Elder
Young
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Elder
Young
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Elder
Young
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
50
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Elder
Young
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Elder
Young
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
ElderYoung
Strike Zones
Elder
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedYoung
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Elder targets the head (50% of attacks) — Young absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Young targets the body (44% of attacks) — Elder absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Elder
RND
Young
0/0R00/0
Elder · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Gauge YoungDecision
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W · Sub · R2
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Young · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
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Evan ElderDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04