UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates
Kansas City, USA
26 Apr 2025
Lightweight
VS
50%
Elder
50%
Young
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Evan
Evan Elder
"The Phenom"
10 – 2
5'10"72" reachSwitch29 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 47
Gauge
Gauge Young
"Gee Money"
11 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak25 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'9"
CFR 47

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Elder

This is a genuine toss-up — Elder at 50% vs Young at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Young has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Elder
Young
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
72"+
Reach
70"
29
Age
+25
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Elder
Young
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.1
46.6
43.9
Performance Avg
41.7
33
Quality of Victory
25
48
Momentum Score
67
Elder
Young
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
3.1
47%
Strike Accuracy
54%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
15
12
Body
16
8
Leg
5
RangeRange
40Distance36
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Elder
Young
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Elder
Young
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/12 fights
Chin rating based on
3/14 fights
Elder
Young
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
67
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Elder
Young
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Elder
Young
Striking1.2 / 1.3Volume6.5 / 9.3Grappling4.3 / 2.4Wrestling3.0 / 1.7Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 2.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.3
Elder
Strike Zones
Young
Elder
Attacking
20HEAD12BODY8LEGS40 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD16BODY5LEGS36 absorbed
Young
Attacking
15HEAD16BODY5LEGS36 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD12BODY8LEGS40 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Elder targets the head (50% of attacks) — Young absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Young targets the body (44% of attacks) — Elder absorbs 44% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Elder
RND
Young
0/0R00/0

Elder · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.5L7.0L4.5W6.0W5.1W2022-042023-022023-072024-072025-04
WinLossTrend

Young · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0106.1L4.8W4.7W2025-042025-082026-04
WinLossTrend

Elder · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Gauge YoungRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Sub · R2
Darrius FlowersRating 6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Genaro ValdezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
L · R3
Nazim SadykhovRating 7
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
L · Dec · R3
Preston ParsonsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04

Young · Last 3

W · Dec · R3
Thiago MoisesRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
MaheshateRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Evan ElderRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04

News & Media

Evan Elder · Gauge Young
← Back to fights