METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
14 Jan 2012
Lightweight
VS
59%
Tavares
41%
Stout
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Thiago TavareswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Sam Stout · UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tavares
→
Actual result
Tavares wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Tavares at 59% vs Stout at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Tavares has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Tavares's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stout has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TavaresStout
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tavares
Stout
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
70"
Reach
70"
41+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tavares
Stout
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
12.3
48.8
Performance Avg
35.3
42
Quality of Victory
29
81
Momentum Score
60
Tavares
Stout
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
2.1
4.4
Style: Volume
8.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
11
12
Body
7
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
23Distance20
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Tavares
Stout
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
3.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tavares
Stout
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
20/32 fights
Tavares
Stout
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
60
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Tavares
Stout
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
11%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tavares
Stout
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.1
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.0
TavaresStout
Strike Zones
Tavares
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedStout
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tavares targets the body (52% of attacks) — Stout absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Stout targets the head (50% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tavares
RND
Stout
0/0R00/0
Tavares · Last 5
L · KO · R1
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Stout · Last 5
L · KO · R1
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