METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
14 Jan 2012
Lightweight
VS
59%
Tavares
41%
Stout
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Thiago TavareswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Sam Stout · UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tavares
→
Actual result
Tavares wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Tavares at 59% vs Stout at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Tavares has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Stout throws more volume but Tavares connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Tavares's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stout has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TavaresStout
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tavares
Stout
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
70"
Reach
70"
41+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tavares
Stout
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
12.3
48.8
Performance Avg
35.3
42
Quality of Victory
29
81
Momentum Score
60
Tavares
Stout
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.6
44%
Strike Accuracy
28%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
11
12
Body
7
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
23Distance20
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Tavares
Stout
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
3.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tavares
Stout
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
20/32 fights
Tavares
Stout
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
60
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Tavares
Stout
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
11%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tavares
Stout
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.1
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.0
TavaresStout
Strike Zones
Tavares
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedStout
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tavares targets the body (52% of attacks) — Stout absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Stout targets the head (50% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tavares
RND
Stout
0/0R00/0
Tavares · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Stout · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Tavares · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dooho ChoiRating 3.3KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · 2016-07
W · Sub · R1
Clay GuidaRating 5.5Submission
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L · KO · R3
Brian OrtegaRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
W · Sub · R1
Robert PeraltaRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08
W · Sub · R1
Justin SalasRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11
Stout · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Frankie PerezRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · KO · R2
Ross PearsonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
L · KO · R1
KJ NoonsRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Cody McKenzieRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
L · Sub · R3
James KrauseRating 4Submission
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06