UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis
Toronto, Canada
20 Jan 2024
Welterweight
VS
40%
Magny
60%
Malott
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:45
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Malott
Malott holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Magny has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Malott has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Magny throws more volume but Malott connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Magny's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Magny
Malott
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
80"+
Reach
73"
38
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Magny
Malott
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.5
70.1
47.4
Performance Avg
63.2
36
Quality of Victory
47
75
Momentum Score
97
Magny
Malott
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
57%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
44
Head
3
2
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
44Ground3
Magny
Malott
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Magny
Malott
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
6
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
37/46 fights
Chin rating based on
8/16 fights
Magny
Malott
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
97
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Magny
Malott
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
71%
7
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
2
14
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Magny
Malott
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
MagnyMalott
Strike Zones
Magny
Attacking
46 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedMalott
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
46 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Magny targets the head (96% of attacks) — Malott absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Malott targets the head (75% of attacks) — Magny absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Magny
RND
Malott
0/0R00/0
Magny · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Malott · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Magny · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Yaroslav AmosovRating 3.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
Malott · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · KO · R2
Charles RadtkeRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Trevin GilesRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · KO · R3
Neil MagnyRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

