UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
Anaheim, USA
17 Feb 2024
Bantamweight
VS
48%
Dvalishvili
52%
Cejudo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Merab
Merab Dvalishvili
"The Machine"
21 – 5
5'6"68" reachOrthodox35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 60
Henry
Henry Cejudo
"Triple C"
16 – 6
Well-Rounded4-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'4"
CFR 65

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cejudo

This is a genuine toss-up — Dvalishvili at 48% vs Cejudo at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Cejudo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Cejudo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cejudo has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Dvalishvili
Cejudo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'4"
68"+
Reach
64"
35+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dvalishvili
Cejudo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.4
64.7
53.2
Performance Avg
57.5
34
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
97
Dvalishvili
Cejudo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.4
43%
Strike Accuracy
54%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
3
7
Body
0
4
Leg
6
RangeRange
15Distance9
6Clinch0
3Ground0
Dvalishvili
Cejudo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dvalishvili
Cejudo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
68
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
16/22 fights
Dvalishvili
Cejudo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
97
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Dvalishvili
Cejudo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dvalishvili
Cejudo
Striking2.4 / 5.3Volume8.5 / 6.0Grappling2.6 / 1.4Wrestling1.8 / 1.0Submission0.7 / 0.0Pressure3.5 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Dvalishvili
Strike Zones
Cejudo
Dvalishvili
Attacking
13HEAD7BODY4LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY6LEGS9 absorbed
Cejudo
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY6LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD7BODY4LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dvalishvili targets the head (54% of attacks) — Cejudo absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Cejudo targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Dvalishvili absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dvalishvili
RND
Cejudo
0/0R00/0

Dvalishvili · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L4.7L4.5W4.9W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.0W6.0W6.0W6.0W5.8W6.8W6.0W7.0L2017-122020-062023-032025-102025-12
WinLossTrend

Cejudo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L5.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W5.1W5.2W5.1W6.5L6.8L6.1L7.0L2014-122016-042018-082023-052025-12
WinLossTrend

Dvalishvili · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Petr YanRating 7
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenRating 6
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Sub · R3
Sean O'MalleyRating 6.8
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Umar NurmagomedovRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R5
Sean O'MalleyRating 6
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09

Cejudo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Payton TalbottRating 7
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Dec · R5
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · KO · R2
Dominick CruzRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05

News & Media

Merab Dvalishvili · Henry Cejudo
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