METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
Adelaide, Australia
9 May 2015
Welterweight
VS
67%
Grujic
33%
O'Reilly
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Brendan O'ReillywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Vik Grujic · UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Grujic
→
Actual result
O'Reilly wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Grujic holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but O'Reilly has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Grujic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Striking split: Grujic throws more volume but O'Reilly connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GrujicO'Reilly
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Grujic
O'Reilly
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'7"
73"+
Reach
69"
49
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Grujic
O'Reilly
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
9.3
46.0
Performance Avg
25.0
60
Quality of Victory
25
43
Momentum Score
22
Grujic
O'Reilly
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
0.9
52%
Strike Accuracy
60%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
1
8
Body
9
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance2
11Clinch10
0Ground0
Grujic
O'Reilly
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Grujic
O'Reilly
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/9 fights
Grujic
O'Reilly
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
22
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Grujic
O'Reilly
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Grujic
O'Reilly
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
GrujicO'Reilly
Strike Zones
Grujic
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedO'Reilly
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Grujic targets the body (57% of attacks) — O'Reilly absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯O'Reilly targets the body (75% of attacks) — Grujic absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Grujic
RND
O'Reilly
0/0R00/0
Grujic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
O'Reilly · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Grujic · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Brendan O'ReillyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
L · KO · R1
Chris ClementsRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
W · KO · R1
Chris IndichRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt · 2014-06
L · Dec · R3
Nordine TalebRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
O'Reilly · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Dong Hyun MaRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
L · KO · R1
Alan JoubanRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
W · Dec · R3
Vik GrujicRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Zhang LipengRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · 2014-08