UFC 31: Locked and Loaded
Atlantic City, USA
4 May 2001
Lightweight
VS
91%
Penn
9%
Gilbert
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:57
BP
BJ Penn
"The Prodigy"
16 – 14
5'9"70" reachOrthodox47 yrs7-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 22
JG
Joey Gilbert
2 – 3
Well-Rounded49 yrsOrthodox5'11"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Penn

Penn is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Penn has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 63 points.

Striking split: Gilbert throws more volume but Penn connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Penn's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Penn
Gilbert
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
47+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Penn
Gilbert
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.2
2.2
56.9
Performance Avg
0.0
63
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Penn
Gilbert
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.2
51%
Strike Accuracy
43%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
0
4
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance1
3Clinch2
16Ground0
Penn
Gilbert
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Penn
Gilbert
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/30 fights
Chin rating based on
1/5 fights
Penn
Gilbert
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
7-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Penn
Gilbert
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Penn
Gilbert
Striking6.0 / 0.0Volume1.6 / 0.0Grappling2.9 / 0.0Wrestling2.0 / 0.0Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure7.3 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Penn
Strike Zones
Gilbert
Penn
Attacking
18HEAD4BODY0LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD2BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Gilbert
Attacking
0HEAD2BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD4BODY0LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Penn targets the head (82% of attacks) — Gilbert absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Gilbert targets the body (67% of attacks) — Penn absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Penn
RND
Gilbert
0/0R00/0

Penn · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.0W5.0W5.5L5.2W4.5W5.0W5.5L2.8L5.2W5.1W5.2W3.4L5.4W4.5W5.5L5.5L5.0W5.5L5.5L2.8L3.7L5.5L1.5L6.0L2001-052006-032009-122017-012019-05
WinLossTrend

Penn · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6
Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Sub · R1
Ryan HallRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · KO · R2
Yair RodriguezRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · KO · R3
Frankie EdgarRating 2.8
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07

Gilbert · Last 1

L · KO · R1
BJ PennRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 31: Locked and Loaded · 2001-05

News & Media

BJ Penn · Joey Gilbert
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