UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
Chicago, USA
25 Jan 2014
Bantamweight
VS
71%
Wineland
29%
Jabouin
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:16
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Wineland
Wineland is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Wineland has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Striking split: Wineland throws more volume but Jabouin connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Wineland's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jabouin has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Wineland
Jabouin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
69"+
Reach
68"
41+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Wineland
Jabouin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.2
11.7
45.0
Performance Avg
35.0
50
Quality of Victory
25
78
Momentum Score
55
Wineland
Jabouin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.6
32%
Strike Accuracy
42%
9.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
34
Head
7
3
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance12
1Clinch0
27Ground0
Wineland
Jabouin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Wineland
Jabouin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/40 fights
Chin rating based on
10/31 fights
Wineland
Jabouin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
55
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Wineland
Jabouin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Wineland
Jabouin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
WinelandJabouin
Strike Zones
Wineland
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedJabouin
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Wineland targets the head (92% of attacks) — Jabouin absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Jabouin targets the head (58% of attacks) — Wineland absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Wineland
RND
Jabouin
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Wineland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Jabouin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Wineland · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Cody StamannRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
L · KO · R1
John CastanedaRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
L · KO · R1
Sean O'MalleyRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
W · KO · R2
Grigory PopovRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
L · Dec · R3
Alejandro PerezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
Jabouin · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Felipe ArantesRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · KO · R1
Thomas AlmeidaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · Dec · R3
Mike EastonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
L · KO · R2
Eddie WinelandRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01
W · Dec · R3
Dustin PagueRating 4.5Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06