UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo
Des Moines, USA
3 May 2025
Bantamweight
VS
46%
Bolanos
54%
Le
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:54
Gaston
Gaston Bolanos
"The Dreamkiller"
8 – 5
5'7"69" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 38
Quang
Quang Le
"Bang"
9 – 3
Submission Hunter34 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 45

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Le

This is a genuine toss-up — Bolanos at 46% vs Le at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Le has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Striking split: Le throws more volume but Bolanos connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Bolanos's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Le has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Bolanos
Le
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
69"
Reach
+70"
33+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bolanos
Le
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.1
45.3
35.0
Performance Avg
39.7
25
Quality of Victory
50
56
Momentum Score
36
Bolanos
Le
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.0
46%
Strike Accuracy
44%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
7
1
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Bolanos
Le
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bolanos
Le
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/13 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Bolanos
Le
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
36
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Bolanos
Le
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bolanos
Le
Striking1.0 / 0.5Volume9.0 / 0.5Grappling2.4 / 8.0Wrestling1.7 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure1.5 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Bolanos
Strike Zones
Le
Bolanos
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY3LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Le
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY3LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bolanos targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Le absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Le targets the head (88% of attacks) — Bolanos absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bolanos
RND
Le
0/0R00/0

Bolanos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0104.5W4.4L4.5W3.3L2023-042024-012024-112025-05
WinLossTrend

Le · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0106.0L4.8L5.4W3.3L2024-082024-112025-052025-09
WinLossTrend

Bolanos · Last 5

Upcoming
Michael Aswell Jr.
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · Sub · R2
Quang LeRating 3.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Cortavious RomiousRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Marcus McGheeRating 4.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Aaron PhillipsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04

Le · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Santiago LunaRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Sub · R2
Gaston BolanosRating 5.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · KO · R3
Xiao LongRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08

News & Media

Gaston Bolanos · Quang Le
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