UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
Manila, Philippines
16 May 2015
Lightweight
VS
54%
Lipeng
46%
Johnson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
ZL
Zhang Lipeng
"The Warrior"
23 – 9
5'11"71" reachSouthpaw36 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
KJ
Kajan Johnson
"Ragin'"
23 – 13
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox75" reach5'11"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lipeng

This is a genuine toss-up — Lipeng at 54% vs Johnson at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lipeng has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.

Striking split: Johnson throws more volume but Lipeng connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Johnson has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lipeng
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
71"
Reach
+75"
36+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lipeng
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
16.1
57.5
Performance Avg
41.6
63
Quality of Victory
31
39
Momentum Score
66
Lipeng
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.4
0.6
48%
Strike Accuracy
42%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
0
Body
0
5
Leg
3
RangeRange
5Distance2
4Clinch3
0Ground0
Lipeng
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lipeng
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/32 fights
Chin rating based on
7/36 fights
Lipeng
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
66
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Lipeng
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lipeng
Johnson
Striking1.0 / 3.6Volume9.0 / 7.1Grappling2.4 / 1.8Wrestling1.7 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.5 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Lipeng
Strike Zones
Johnson
Lipeng
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY5LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY3LEGS5 absorbed
Johnson
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY3LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY5LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lipeng targets the legs (56% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Lipeng absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lipeng
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0

Lipeng · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W4.5W5.5L5.5L2014-032014-082015-012015-05
WinLossTrend

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.0L4.5W4.5W5.5W4.5W3.5L5.5L2014-062015-092018-032018-09
WinLossTrend

Lipeng · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Kajan JohnsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Chris WadeRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Brendan O'ReillyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · 2014-08
W · Dec · R3
Sai WangRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03

Johnson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
L · Sub · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · KO · R3
Adriano MartinsRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Naoyuki KotaniRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09

News & Media

Zhang Lipeng · Kajan Johnson
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