UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
Chicago, USA
8 Jun 2019
Women's Strawweight
VS
60%
Xiaonan
40%
Hill
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Xiaonan
Xiaonan holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Hill has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hill has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hill has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Xiaonan
Hill
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'3"
63"
Reach
+64"
36+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Xiaonan
Hill
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.2
36.2
45.0
Performance Avg
36.7
29
Quality of Victory
31
100
Momentum Score
40
Xiaonan
Hill
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
52%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
27
6
Body
5
9
Leg
2
RangeRange
45Distance32
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Xiaonan
Hill
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Xiaonan
Hill
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
48
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/24 fights
Chin rating based on
30/34 fights
Xiaonan
Hill
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
40
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Xiaonan
Hill
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
11%
15%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Xiaonan
Hill
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.4
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
XiaonanHill
Strike Zones
Xiaonan
Attacking
46 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedHill
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
46 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Xiaonan targets the head (67% of attacks) — Hill absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Hill targets the head (79% of attacks) — Xiaonan absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Xiaonan
RND
Hill
0/0R00/0
Xiaonan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Hill · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Xiaonan · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaRating 6.2Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
L · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 7.3Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Jessica AndradeRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · Dec · R5
Mackenzie DernRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
Hill · Last 5
Upcoming
Xiong JingnanUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Fatima KlineRating 7.1Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Ketlen SouzaRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08

