METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
16 Jan 2021
Women's Bantamweight
VS
60%
Moras
40%
Melo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Vanessa MelowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Sarah Moras · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Moras
→
Actual result
Melo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Moras holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Melo has real paths to victory.
Key angles
Moras has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Risk flags
Moras's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MorasMelo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moras
Melo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
67"+
Reach
65"
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moras
Melo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.7
10.3
39.1
Performance Avg
25.0
43
Quality of Victory
25
45
Momentum Score
28
Moras
Melo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
5.7
Style: Pressure
0.8
3.3
Style: Volume
8.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
13
2
Body
1
12
Leg
2
RangeRange
15Distance16
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Moras
Melo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moras
Melo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/14 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Moras
Melo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
28
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Moras
Melo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moras
Melo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
MorasMelo
Strike Zones
Moras
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedMelo
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moras targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Melo absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Melo targets the head (81% of attacks) — Moras absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moras
RND
Melo
0/0R00/0
Moras · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Vanessa MeloDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Sijara EubanksDecision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
W · KO · R3
Liana JojuaKO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
L · KO · R2
Macy ChiassonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Talita BernardoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
Melo · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Sarah MorasDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaDecision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Tracy CortezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · Dec · R3
Irene AldanaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09