METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
16 Jan 2021
Women's Bantamweight
VS
60%
Moras
40%
Melo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Vanessa MelowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Sarah Moras · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Moras
→
Actual result
Melo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Moras holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Melo has real paths to victory.
Key angles
Moras has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Melo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Moras's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MorasMelo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moras
Melo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
67"+
Reach
65"
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moras
Melo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.7
10.3
39.1
Performance Avg
25.0
43
Quality of Victory
25
45
Momentum Score
28
Moras
Melo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
1.4
35%
Strike Accuracy
36%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
13
2
Body
1
12
Leg
2
RangeRange
15Distance16
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Moras
Melo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moras
Melo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/14 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Moras
Melo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
28
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Moras
Melo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moras
Melo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
MorasMelo
Strike Zones
Moras
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedMelo
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moras targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Melo absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Melo targets the head (81% of attacks) — Moras absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moras
RND
Melo
0/0R00/0
Moras · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Melo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Moras · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Vanessa MeloRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Sijara EubanksRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
W · KO · R3
Liana JojuaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
L · KO · R2
Macy ChiassonRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Talita BernardoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
Melo · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Sarah MorasRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 6.2Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Tracy CortezRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · Dec · R3
Irene AldanaRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09