UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
16 Jan 2021
Women's Bantamweight
VS
60%
Moras
40%
Melo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SM
Sarah Moras
"Cheesecake"
6 – 8
5'7"67" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
VM
Vanessa Melo
11 – 8
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'5"
CFR 10

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Moras

Moras holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Melo has real paths to victory.

Key angles

Moras has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Melo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Moras's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Moras
Melo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
67"+
Reach
65"
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moras
Melo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.7
10.3
39.1
Performance Avg
25.0
43
Quality of Victory
25
45
Momentum Score
28
Moras
Melo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.4
35%
Strike Accuracy
36%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
13
2
Body
1
12
Leg
2
RangeRange
15Distance16
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Moras
Melo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moras
Melo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/14 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Moras
Melo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
28
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Moras
Melo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Moras
Melo
Striking4.0 / 0.5Volume3.3 / 8.5Grappling3.5 / 2.4Wrestling2.4 / 1.7Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure5.7 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Moras
Strike Zones
Melo
Moras
Attacking
1HEAD2BODY12LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD1BODY2LEGS16 absorbed
Melo
Attacking
13HEAD1BODY2LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD2BODY12LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Moras targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Melo absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Melo targets the head (81% of attacks) — Moras absorbs 81% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Moras
RND
Melo
0/0R00/0

Moras · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.5W6.3L5.0W5.5L5.5L4.1L5.5W5.5L5.5L2014-072018-022019-092021-01
WinLossTrend

Melo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0106.3L6.2L6.2L4.5W2019-092019-112020-072021-01
WinLossTrend

Moras · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Vanessa MeloRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Sijara EubanksRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
W · KO · R3
Liana JojuaRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
L · KO · R2
Macy ChiassonRating 4.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Talita BernardoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10

Melo · Last 4

W · Dec · R3
Sarah MorasRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Tracy CortezRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · Dec · R3
Irene AldanaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09

News & Media

Sarah Moras · Vanessa Melo
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