UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson
Chicago, USA
26 Jan 2013
Light Heavyweight
VS
60%
Bader
40%
Matyushenko
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:50
RB
Ryan Bader
"Darth"
23 – 5
6'2"74" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 20
VM
Vladimir Matyushenko
"The Janitor"
27 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide55 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Bader

Bader holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Matyushenko has real paths to victory.

Key angles

Striking split: Bader throws more volume but Matyushenko connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Bader's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Matyushenko has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Bader
Matyushenko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
74"
42+
Age
55
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bader
Matyushenko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.1
13.5
54.2
Performance Avg
47.3
40
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
20
Bader
Matyushenko
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
46%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Bader
Matyushenko
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bader
Matyushenko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
20
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/28 fights
Chin rating based on
12/35 fights
Bader
Matyushenko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
20
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Bader
Matyushenko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
43%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bader
Matyushenko
Striking4.8 / 5.5Volume6.3 / 5.7Grappling2.0 / 1.4Wrestling1.4 / 1.0Submission0.7 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Bader
Strike Zones
Matyushenko
Bader
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Matyushenko
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bader targets the head (67% of attacks) — Matyushenko absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bader
RND
Matyushenko
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Bader · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.0W4.5W4.5W5.5W4.5W4.5L1.5L5.0W4.5W2.8L5.0W1.9L4.5W4.5W5.1W4.5W4.5W1.5L5.2W5.2W2008-122011-022013-012015-012016-11
WinLossTrend

Matyushenko · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0104.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W2.2L4.5W4.5W3.3L5.0W5.0W1.5L1.5L2001-062003-022010-032011-042013-01
WinLossTrend

Bader · Last 5

W · KO · R3
Rogerio NogueiraRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · KO · R2
Ilir LatifiRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Anthony JohnsonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · Dec · R3
Rashad EvansRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Phil DavisRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

Matyushenko · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Ryan BaderRating 1.5
Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · KO · R1
Alexander GustafssonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
W · KO · R1
Jason BrilzRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · KO · R1
Alexandre FerreiraRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
L · KO · R1
Jon JonesRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08

News & Media

Ryan Bader · Vladimir Matyushenko
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