METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
Las Vegas, USA
2 Mar 2019
Welterweight
VS
69%
Lawler
31%
Askren
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:20
★ Official Result
Ben AskrenwinsSubmissionR1 · 3:20
def. Robbie Lawler · UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lawler
→
Actual result
Askren wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Lawler holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Askren has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Lawler's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Askren has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LawlerAskren
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lawler
Askren
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
73"
44
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lawler
Askren
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.7
18.6
51.0
Performance Avg
45.7
45
Quality of Victory
54
90
Momentum Score
52
Lawler
Askren
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.5
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
8.0
4.9
Style: Volume
0.7
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
0
5
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
9Clinch0
16Ground0
Lawler
Askren
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lawler
Askren
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/46 fights
Chin rating based on
3/21 fights
Lawler
Askren
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
52
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Lawler
Askren
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
100%
8
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lawler
Askren
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
LawlerAskren
Strike Zones
Lawler
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedAskren
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lawler targets the head (81% of attacks) — Askren absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lawler
RND
Askren
0/0R00/0
Lawler · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Niko PriceKO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
L · KO · R2
Bryan BarberenaKO/TKO
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
W · KO · R3
Nick DiazKO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
Askren · Last 3
L · Sub · R3
Demian MaiaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
L · KO · R1
Jorge MasvidalKO/TKO
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Sub · R1
Robbie LawlerSubmission
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03