UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski
Rotterdam, Netherlands
8 May 2016
Lightweight
VS
49%
Khabilov
51%
Wade
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RK
Rustam Khabilov
"Tiger"
24 – 4
5'8"73" reachOrthodox39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 20
CW
Chris Wade
12 – 3
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'10"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Wade

This is a genuine toss-up — Khabilov at 49% vs Wade at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Khabilov throws more volume but Wade connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Khabilov
Wade
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
73"+
Reach
70"
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Khabilov
Wade
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.9
20.8
48.2
Performance Avg
50.5
29
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
88
Khabilov
Wade
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.5
37%
Strike Accuracy
56%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
4
1
Body
2
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance7
1Clinch1
20Ground0
Khabilov
Wade
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Khabilov
Wade
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/28 fights
Chin rating based on
7/15 fights
Khabilov
Wade
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
88
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Khabilov
Wade
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
10%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
9
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Khabilov
Wade
Striking2.5 / 1.4Volume7.9 / 6.2Grappling1.9 / 4.6Wrestling1.3 / 3.3Submission0.0 / 4.0Pressure3.0 / 4.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Khabilov
Strike Zones
Wade
Khabilov
Attacking
23HEAD1BODY2LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY2LEGS8 absorbed
Wade
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY2LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD1BODY2LEGS26 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Khabilov targets the head (88% of attacks) — Wade absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Wade targets the head (50% of attacks) — Khabilov absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Khabilov
RND
Wade
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Khabilov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.2W4.0W4.5W3.4L5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W6.5L4.5W2012-122015-022016-122019-11
WinLossTrend

Wade · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.0W4.5W4.7W5.0W5.5L7.5L4.5W2014-082015-062016-052017-07
WinLossTrend

Khabilov · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Sergey KhandozhkoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
L · Dec · R3
Diego FerreiraRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Kajan JohnsonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Jason SaggoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12

Wade · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Frankie PerezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Islam MakhachevRating 7.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · Sub · R1
Mehdi BaghdadRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
W · Dec · R3
Christos GiagosRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06

News & Media

Rustam Khabilov · Chris Wade
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